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All Star Options

[Options Premium] Bet on the House

February 22, 2022

From this week's Follow the Flow report, it's clear that options players are betting on the house!

And recent market action is giving us a nice pullback to get positioned into, increasing our odds of success if the dealer plays his cards right.

So let's take advantage of the price action and position ourselves to win.

Somebody tell the waitress to send over another round of complimentary drinks!

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Taking What the Market Gives

February 18, 2022

If you've been following our narrative this week, you know we've been preaching patience as the stock market is most decidedly in the "chop zone" right now. Me and JC did a live twitter stream on Wednesday afternoon discussing the situation and how we don't feel compelled to force any new trades.

That is still the situation. But one name that I've been watching for a delta-neutral credit spread has moved in the last two days in a way that gives me a little more confidence that now may be a good time to get involved.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Looking for a Bearish Trade with Legs

February 14, 2022

As the market continues to test the resolve of both bulls and bears, some bearish setups are starting to trigger.

The team put out their latest Short Report last week and one of the names from that list triggered an entry this morning. And considering that my portfolio of options positions is currently leaning long, I like the idea of establishing some bearish positions to add counterbalance to my holdings.

So let's get right to it.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Giving the Homies a Rest

February 11, 2022

While certainly not at panic levels, we've been seeing a persistent $VIX holding north of 20, and the last two days we saw it flirt with 25. This signals to me that there is still a bit of uneasiness remaining in the stock market, leftover from the recent correction.

Scanning my books, I noticed my portfolio is a little light on delta neutral premium trades, so we're going to take the recent rise in volatility as an opportunity to add a little diversification.

As always, I take a gander at my list of the most liquid ETF options and look for the ones with the highest implied volatilities right now. And then if the chart suggests some consolidation is in order, that's where I look to strike.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Satisfying a Speculative Itch

February 7, 2022

I love when the team feels a little "frisky" and hunts for "speculative" ideas. There's nothing that gets the creative juices flowing more than getting outside the wheelhouse a bit, looking for new experiences.

This lead them down the path of picking through the wreckage in Chinese stocks.

In the recent Monthly Candles Strategy session (find the charts here), JC highlighted a couple names in China that are offering speculative opportunities for those willing to step boldly where most bulls are too sheepish to look.

As options traders, we too can join the party. But we can minimize the risk better while still participating if the speculators have their way.

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Getting Short Bonds

February 4, 2022

The team put out a piece this week titled Shorting the Long End of the Yield Curve.

I can't pretend to understand the first thing about interest rates, how or why they behave the way they do, nor how their moves in relation to each other mean certain things. Thankfully, I don't need to. I just need to follow price.

And right now, price is signaling loud and clear that we need to take a short position in some of these bond vehicles.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Volume is Good For Trade

January 31, 2022

...And trading volumes are particularly good for the trading exchanges that make it all happen!

With the markets whipsawing back and forth to start the year and trading volumes rising all over the place, the exchanges that extract fees for every stock share, futures contract, or options contract that trade at their venues are seeing their revenues rise.

Couple this with some strong relative performance in the stocks, and we're setup for a very nice bullish move -- should we get it.

Today's trade is in a one such name that facilitates all kinds of trading.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Still on the Hunt for Premium

January 28, 2022

For anyone that joined me, JC, and Strazza on the Twitter Spaces this morning, you heard us scratching our heads on what to trade next.

In this sloppy tape, there just aren't any real compelling opportunities we can find worth getting aggressive with. When the best idea on the table is "buy $QQQ above 350," then you know we're struggling for good directional bets.

But that's ok. We options traders don't just need directional markets to make money. We can take advantage of sideways action too!

And that's what we're going to continue to do with today's trade.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Going Swimming in the Berkshires

January 25, 2022

I joined JC and Strazza today during their daily Twitter Spaces brainstorm and we got to kicking around ideas of how we want to play this market.

When prompted, I voiced my opinion that anything we do in the options space right here should involve being sellers of options. Premiums are elevated pretty much across the board. So whatever we do, let's get a tailwind to help us along. And for me right now, that tailwind is mean-reversion in options premiums.

We never know when premiums will trend back to normal, but we do know that they always eventually do. So we must position ourselves accordingly.

After kicking around a few ideas, collectively we agreed it's best to err in a household name that is unlikely to kill us if we get it wrong.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] If You're Bullish, This Pullback is a Gift

January 10, 2022

On days and weeks like this, I love to look for opportunities to sell premium into the elevated implied volatilities we're seeing rising across the board. With $VIX back up above 20, you'd think there's been plenty to pick from.

Problem is, I haven't found any delta-neutral setups that look good today. Too many busted charts on the most liquid ETFs makes finding support levels that both make sense and offer enough premium to make it worthwhile from a safety standpoint hard to find.

So, as always, I reached out to my team from some other ideas.

We've been asking the question: "how bad can things be if we're seeing this kind of relative and absolute strength in the banking and financial sectors?"

Steve Strazza served up an interesting bullish play that is either a gift of a pullback, or we're buying the top. If you're market the bullish, then you gotta believe this idea has merit.

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Playing for a Short Term Range in Technology

January 7, 2022

Well well well, what do we have here?

The first two days of this week completed a nearly text book Santa Claus rally. Then on Wednesday, it appears the Fed may have stolen his Sleigh and now his reindeer have no idea which way to steer!

This indecision has played out in the options market by raising the risk premiums being asked across a wide sector of index ETFs.

At times like this, I like to go hunting for premium-selling opportunities. And I've got one teed up so lets get to it!

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Base/Metal

January 3, 2022

The All Star Charts team put a report out about the Metals sector end of last week, highlighting undercurrents investors should be keeping an eye on. Not everything is sending "all-clear" signals yet. But there is one particular name that definitely has my attention and is offering a good reward-to-risk opportunity to get involved.

I'll spare you any further preamble and we'll get right into the money quote that has me interested: