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Video: Getting Some Love From My Friends In India!

March 16, 2019

Here's the video from a live interview I did on ET NOW, India's leading business news channel. It's amazing that I could not live further away than I currently do, yet we can still do this sort of thing. Their morning TV is my evening, but it works.

In this interview we discuss the ongoing rangebound market in US Stocks and then we shift gears to India's stock market. We talk about the rotation into small & mid-caps, key levels for both the NIFTY50 and Bank NIFTY as well as the relative strength we're seeing in the bank stocks, particularly ICICI and AXIS Bank.

Here is the video in full:

All Star Interviews Season 2, Episode 18: Greg Harmon, Dragonfly Capital

March 15, 2019

Greg Harmon is one of the OGs of the Financial Blogosphere. He has been consistently contributing to the community for over a decade. For you new comers, this is how it's done. Greg is the founder of Dragonfly Capital, where he is the portfolio manager and I encourage you to follow him on Twitter @harmongreg. He paid his dues early in his career traveling around the world and holding senior positions including Head of Global Trading, Head of Product Development, Head of Strategy and Director of Equity at JP Morgan, State Street and BNP Paribas. It was not until after all of this experience that he...

[Premium India] Members-Only Conference Call Monday March 18th at 7PM IST

March 15, 2019

This is our monthly conference call for All Star Charts India Premium Members where we discuss ongoing themes throughout the India Share Market. We take a look at all of the NSE Indexes and Sectors as well as some of our own custom indexes. At Allstarcharts we have become known around the world for the top/down approach to stocks. After we analyze each of the indexes and sectors and have identified where the strength and weakness lies, then we break it down to individual stock opportunities. By having momentum, relative strength and market trend in our favor, the probabilities of success increase dramatically. The video of the call will be archived in the members section to re-watch any time and the PDF of the charts will be made available as well.

I'll do my best to lay out my weight of the evidence conclusions and walk you step by step with how I got there! This month's Conference Call will be held on Monday March 18th at 7PM IST. Here are the Registration Details:

All Star Charts Premium

Avoiding These Groups At The Index Level

March 14, 2019

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Tuesday I posted a Mystery Chart that got a lot of replies.

Most said you'd be buyers at current levels or on a pullback, but a number of you were skeptical of the recent move and would be avoiding or fading it.

The feedback I got was interesting, so let's get right into the actual chart.

This week's Mystery Chart was an inverted daily line chart of the Metals & Mining ETF relative to the S&P 500. Below is the corrected chart.

Prices have put in a multi-year top, remain below support and a downward-sloping 200-day moving average, and momentum is in a bearish range. All signs continue to point to under-performance in this market sub-sector.

Click on table to enlarge view.

...

The Role of Collaboration In My Process

March 13, 2019

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

The Research and/or Trading business can be a very lonely endeavor for many, so I wanted to use this post to outline the role that collaboration plays in my process and why I feel it's so important.

The S&P500 Is A Hot Mess

March 13, 2019

Some people actually think this world is just filled with rainbows and butterflies and stocks are always supposed to go up. I never understood that ignorance. Sometimes stocks go up, sometimes they go down and sometimes they go sideways for a while. It will take you less than 5 minutes of market history research to understand this very simple fact.

Of those 3, I would argue we are in the 'sideways for a while' category in U.S. Stocks, particularly the S&P500.

Chart Summit 2019 Highlight Reel

March 13, 2019

Our Video team has been hard at work publishing the videos of all the presentations from this year's Chart Summit. They sent over this highlight reel that I think shows exactly what went down in Breckenridge last month. If you were not able to attend this year, don't worry, we're already thinking about locations for Chart Summit 2020!

[Options] Risk Management Best Practice with Risk Reversals

March 13, 2019

One options strategy that we occasionally employ at All Star Options is a bullish Risk Reversal. This is a trade we like to put on when the cost of naked calls is too high for our comfort (due to high volatility and/or higher priced strikes), and we're comfortable taking ownership of long stock in a "worst case" scenario.

Simply, it is a trade where we typically purchase an out-of-the-money call, and finance this purchase (all or in part) with the sale of an equal amount of naked puts in the the same expiration cycle.

This is an advanced-level trade that requires more buying power than most trades we put on (due to the naked puts component) and a higher level of comfort with risk. A typical risk reward graph would look like this: