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The Commodity Bull Market Isn't Over

A lot of investors are looking at the recent volatility in precious metals and assuming the commodity trade is over.

I think they're looking at the wrong part of the market.

Could we be near the end of the precious metals leadership phase? Absolutely. Gold, silver, miners, and junior miners have had an incredible run over the last two years. Leadership rotates. That's normal.

But leadership rotating is not the same thing as a bull market ending.

Look at the scan. 

Steel remains near the top of the relative strength rankings. Energy continues to dominate the leaderboard. Oil services, refiners, exploration and production companies, and small cap energy stocks are all holding above long term uptrends. Materials continue to show strength, while battery technology and hydrogen-related assets are quietly improving beneath the surface.

That's not what a commodity bear market looks like.

What we're seeing is a transition.

The first phase of this cycle was led by precious metals. The next phase may be led by industrial commodities, energy, steel, rare earths, batteries, and materials.

Bull markets don't move in straight lines. They evolve.

The headlines may focus on volatility, but the leadership dashboard tells a different story.

The commodity trade isn't dying.

It's broadening out.

And historically, that's exactly what you'd expect to see in the middle stages of a commodity supercycle.


If you want to navigate this commodity supercycle with confidence, come join the professionals who understand how these environments work. Inside

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