From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: In July, consumer expectations for stocks dropped to their lowest level since March 2009.  Excessive optimism is clearly not an issue for stocks right here. But bulls need...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway:  It takes bulls to have a bull market. Seeing cyclical sentiment moving from pessimism to neutral in recent weeks has been fuel for the rally off of the June lows. From both...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Permabulls will almost always complain about rallies being unloved, just as permabears never leave their refrain that downside risks are under appreciated. That is the prism...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: The bulls are raising their voices in excitement. For the first time this year, momentum and breadth are improving in tandem. Despite the bullish developments in recent weeks...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: In recent weeks, the bulls have made their presence known after hiding in the shadows for most of the year. But as they inch their way forward, they will need assurance from...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway:  It’s been bears on parade all year, starting with significantly less optimism coming into this year than was seen at the beginning of 2021 or 2020 and continuing through...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Flow data showing equities attracting 71 cents of every ETF dollar in the first half of 2022 casts some doubt on claims that sentiment is washed out even as bears continue to...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: With pessimism at levels that elicit comparisons to the financial crisis, conditions are set for a meaningful bounce in equities. But at this point, the similarities appear...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: More and more distribution patterns are resolving lower as bearish price action runs rampant across all major assets classes. Even the leadership groups such as commodities...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Lower prices have a way of souring investor moods. It’s a relationship that thrives on the feedback loop it creates. Increased selling pressure begets pessimism that fuels...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: There is plenty of talk about investors turning fearful. This is reflected in more bears than bulls on the various sentiment surveys and high demand for puts relative to...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Investor moods will change as prices fluctuate but they seemed to follow word with deed in May. The AAII asset allocation survey showed them lightening up (perhaps only...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Fear and concern are at the tip of every investor's tongue, yet their eyes remain on the market. For all the pessimism suggested by sentiment surveys, there’s still...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: The disconnect between what investors say and what they do continues to be overlooked by sentiment indicator tourists. While consumer sentiment (what they say) is near its...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: The unwinding of a liquidity-fueled speculative bubble is weighing on investor sentiment, pushing many indicators into areas that signal excessive pessimism. The challenge in...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: At last week’s CMT Symposium, the lack of bulls and high number of bears on the AAII survey was probably the most oft-cited single statistic by the symposium speakers. This...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway:  The lack of a meaningful rebound in price sustains a subdued atmosphere across the market. Sellers continue to drive prices lower and equity put/call ratios are on the rise...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: That investors are in a dour mood is not in doubt. We just saw the fewest bulls on the AAII survey since 1992 and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is about...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Renewed selling pressure brings an air of disappointment rather than fear. Lackluster price action, an absence of a meaningful breadth thrust, and an overall risk-off...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: The rally off of the mid-March stock market lows has equity investors feeling better. Without upside follow through (in terms of price and/or risk appetite), moods could...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Price action has a way of changing sentiment, and the recent bout of strength has brought signs of hope. Optimism is on the rise with an uptick in bulls, a rebound in both...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Investors are identifying with fear and pessimism as bears dominate the surveys. But we have yet to see the type of pessimism that drives market participants to do something...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: There is abundant focus on weekly and monthly surveys showing evidence of investor pessimism with regard to equities. This is at odds with the strategic positioning...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Put/call ratios are high, there are more bulls than bears on both the AAII and II surveys (a rarity over the past decade) and active investment managers have slashed equity...