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From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Bond market moves are getting plenty of attention this week. 10-year Treasury yields dropped to levels not seen since the opening trading sessions of 2022 and German yields have dipped back into...

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Observations

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

It was certainly a busy week filled with volatility-inducing headlines that produced sharp sell-offs and stunning reversals. And all in just four trading days. Stepping back from the noise, it can be...

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Observations

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Optimism wanes, and pessimism builds as the II bull-bear spread narrowed last week to just 1.2%, down more than 4% from the previous week. That brings the spread to its...

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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

There are plenty of ways in which we make our lives more complicated. There’s an endless list of things we could look at that would obscure our perspective. If I’ve learned anything in nearly a...

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Observations

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Speculative excesses have been unwinding for a year and that has taken its toll on investor sentiment. The overall mood is characterized by a lack of optimism rather than...

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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

There are no magic indicators that are right 100% of the time, no silver bullets, no “one Ring to rule them all.” That’s why we spend so much time talking about weighing the evidence and looking at...

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Observations

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

There is plenty of chatter today about inflation, the bond market, and the Fed. 

I have a couple charts to share – and a couple key points worth making. 

Inflation continues to run much...

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From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Sentiment has unwound to a point that it’s now seen as an opportunity rather than a risk. Pessimism runs high, investors are cranky, and we have had the most bears since...

willie
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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

By looking at various ratios relative to where they have been over the past year, we get a sense of investor risk appetite from an intermarket perspective. The pairwise comparisons in our risk off -...

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Observations