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All Star Charts Crypto

The Next Solana

October 26, 2021

For the most part, traditional markets have been a fat mess for the better part of this year.

That's why crypto has caught our attention so much in recent months: It's stood out as a beacon of alpha.

Whether or not you've been invested in crypto, chances are you've probably heard all the chatter about Solana - and for good reason. It gained a whopping 700% from its July lows in just under two months, making it one of our best trades of the year.

But, when you dive down the cap scale, there are so many opportunities shaping out just like how Solana was a few months ago.

Harmony is one of them:

We've been long Harmony on this breakout above 20 cents, and so far it's treated us very well, with prices are running up against our first upside target of 33 cents.

All Star Charts Crypto

The Breakout Shakeout

October 25, 2021

All-time highs can be messy, and many times, the breakout comes after the shakeout.

So will it be like this?

Considering the accumulation taking place by long-term spot investors on-chain, it's certainly looking that way.

Yesterday we saw a notable outflow out of exchanges as investors continue to scoop coins off exchanges and into cold storage to HODL.

Not bearish.

So if and when Bitcoin resolves higher back above 65k, we'll be positioned aggressively long both Bitcoin and in quality alts.

All Star Charts Crypto

Bitcoin Pierces All-Time Highs

October 21, 2021

Bitcoin officially made an all-time yesterday, eclipsing its first-half highs around 65,000.

The importance of this cannot be overstated.

The question is whether or not Bitcoin can stick the landing. It's likely to be a process.

Our Top 5 Crypto Index is also on the verge of completing this major base.

Over longer timeframes, this price action is far from bearish.

Over the last month, we've argued that there's evidence Bitcoin could lead the altcoins.

We've seen this play out, but it looks like Bitcoin could be due for a rest relative to its counterparts.

All Star Charts Crypto

Bitcoin's Leverage Risk

October 20, 2021

Buyers are still in the process of absorbing Bitcoin's overhead supply around 65,000, and we're yet to see a decisive breakout.

We hate sounding like such a broken record about this level, but we really need to be downright obnoxious about its importance.

Though we think Bitcoin will eventually breakout, we wanted to dive deeper into the near-term risks associated with the leverage that speculators have recently adopted that elevates the risk of another potential long squeeze in the coming weeks.

In this chart, we're looking at Bitcoin's total open interest as well as the open interest held exclusively in perpetual future contracts. Since Bitcoin bottomed at the end of September, we've seen OI jump by a notable $11B in just 3-weeks.

 

All Star Charts Crypto

Buy the Rumor, Sell the News?

October 18, 2021

Just like that, Bitcoin hit our upside objective.

Now, patience is warranted as demand begins to absorb the looming supply around these levels.

It'd be prudent to raise cash and take some profits off the table while Bitcoin is below 65,000. Below there, the downside risks remain elevated for now.

 

All Star Charts Crypto

Don't Force It

October 13, 2021

Some of us were discussing internally today's topic.

After a few minutes, we were stumped.

The market hasn't given us much to write about over the last week.

And that's fine. If the market isn't giving you anything new, don't spend your day looking at the screen for something that isn't there.

All Star Charts Crypto

Why We Buy Bases

October 12, 2021

Over the last few months, we've focused on names trading above their spring highs.

Along with this simple message, we've included this chart featuring four prominent names right at their highs from earlier in the year:

We're putting so much effort into this setup for two reasons:

  • All-time highs are achieved in the strongest of assets.
  • Buying new highs allows us to define our risk.

First, bases take time to build.

Bases of this magnitude are formed by accumulation from people with a lot of money that needs to be put to work. Institutions -- or, in the case of crypto, whales -- need liquidity to enter long-term spot positions. They don't have the luxuries of more nimble traders who are able to enter and exit at will and start long-term positions when momentum heats up on a breakout.

All Star Charts Crypto

Bitcoin Leads the Rest

October 11, 2021

Scouring our charts this morning, we couldn't help see that a lot of coins are getting tight out there.

With this volatility contraction, a big move could be on the cards, in either direction...

Big names like Cardano and Avalanche are wedged in contracting consolidation patterns. The resolution from these will likely set the stage for the coming weeks ahead.

And when we look to Bitcoin, prices have been in a very tight range, and this morning seems to be breaking higher.

Compressions like these tend to proceed quick and violent moves, just like the volatility contraction that we were writing about at the end of July before Bitcoin's monster rally off its lows.

All Star Charts Crypto

The Disbelief Rally

October 7, 2021

Just like that, Bitcoin reclaimed its September highs!

In a report a few weeks ago, we outlined:

Derivative speculators are bearish, while long-term spot investors are continuing their accumulation. These are fertile grounds for a powerful disbelief rally that can trap bears.

We've seen this play out over the last few weeks, and yesterday's action only confirmed our suspicions, where there was a notable short squeeze that drove a $3,000 move in the space of a few minutes.