Fresh two-year highs for the Gold/SPX ratio stand out this week, as gold outperforms its alternatives. It doesn't get much more bullish than fresh absolute and relative highs.

With that as our backdrop, I had Jason Perz @JasonP138 of Against All Odds Research on the show to share his view of the precious metals space.

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Money flows to where it’s treated best.

That’s the foundational premise of relative strength studies. 

Remember, we always want to buy the strongest and sell the weakest. It sounds simple. But it’s impossible to overstate its importance.

One of the best ways to increase our probability of success is to buy assets that are trending higher on absolute terms while outperforming their alternatives.

Those are key ingredients of a strong uptrend. And it just so happens that gold checks both boxes…

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Money flows to where it’s treated best.

That’s the foundational premise of relative strength studies. 

Remember, we always want to buy the strongest and sell the weakest. It sounds simple. But it’s impossible to overstate its importance.

One of the best ways to increase our probability of success is to buy assets that are trending higher on absolute terms while outperforming their alternatives.

Those are key ingredients of a strong uptrend. And it just so happens that gold checks both boxes…

Here’s a chart of gold futures posting fresh two-year highs versus the S&P 500 index:

The message comes through loud and clear: Rocks over stocks!

Silver is back above a crucial support level, and gold is reclaiming its former 2011 highs.

The precious metals space is starting to get spicy!

I imagine these rocks and their associated stocks will turn up the heat once the miners break out relative to the broader market.

Check out the Gold Miners ETF $GDX versus the S&P 500 ETF $SPY:

For now, the GDX/SPY ratio continues to find support marked by a...

Buyers taking control of a market heading into the weekend exude confidence. And Gold bugs have done it two weeks in a row now and counting, as they reclaimed the former 2011 highs.

So what’s next for precious metals?

Well, if Gold priced in other major currencies is any indication (which I think it is), it looks like new all-time highs.

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Precious Metals are back on track, with Gold leading the way.

Gold bugs closed out last week with another strong showing, absorbing overhead supply at a critical level – the former 2011 highs.

With momentum on their side, let’s see how precious metal bulls are faring in other areas of the world.

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Precious Metals are back on track, with Gold leading the way.

Gold bugs closed out last week with another strong showing, absorbing overhead supply at a critical level – the former 2011 highs.

With momentum on their side, let’s see how precious metal bulls are faring in other areas of the world.

When we look at Gold valued in other major currencies, it’s already reaching new all-time highs!

Check out Gold priced in euro:

It reclaimed the 2011 highs during the covid sell-off, much like Gold priced in USD. The main difference: Gold has remained more resilient, valued in euro, finishing last Friday at a new all-time weekly closing high.  

It’s a similar picture priced in British pounds:

A big base breakout in early 2020, followed by retests in the spring and summer of 2021, has led to new all-time highs.

The next secular bull run in Gold is well underway in Europe.

But what about the Japanese yen?

You guessed it – gold is also printing fresh all-time highs priced in yen…

No surprise! But you get the point. 

It’s the...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Strength begets strength.

Buyers taking control of a market heading into the weekend exude confidence. That describes gold bulls last Friday as they drove prices higher into the close.

To no surprise, Gold kicked off the new week gapping higher and rallying more than 2.5%. We call this bullish follow-through. 

So what’s next for precious metals?

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Strength begets strength.

Buyers taking control of a market heading into the weekend exude confidence. That describes gold bulls last Friday as they drove prices higher into the close.

To no surprise, Gold kicked off the new week gapping higher and rallying more than 2.5%. We call this bullish follow-through. 

So what’s next for precious metals?

Most likely… More strength!

Check out the daily chart of Gold, highlighting last Friday’s candle in addition to that of the Friday, Nov. 4th session:

Both these candlestick formations are a visual representation of buyers’ willingness to take home additional risk over the weekend.

A sustained rally into an overwhelming amount of supply marked by the 2011 highs followed the bullish candle from Nov. 4th. 

Based on today’s action, Gold appears to be kicking off another leg higher… In fact, short-term momentum for Gold – measured by the short-term rate of change, has not been this high in almost three years. 

Here’s a look at Gold futures with the 2-day ROC, showing the highest reading since early 2020. This...

Silver is clawing its way back after breaking down from a month-long consolidation and undercutting a critical shelf of former lows.

As we talked about last week, it all comes down to risk appetite. Silver bid speaks to a healthy risk-seeking environment favoring all precious metals.

And that's what we saw last week...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Just a week ago, we captured the entire precious metals space in a single sentence: 

"Nothing bullish is happening for precious metals, while silver slides below multi-year support."

Is it really that simple?

Let’s take a look at an interesting development in precious metals that might change our minds…

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Just a week ago, we captured the entire precious metals space in a single sentence: 

“Nothing bullish is happening for precious metals, while silver slides below multi-year support.”

Is it really that simple?

Let’s take a look at an interesting development in precious metals that might change our minds…

Silver futures stopped falling.

Check out the daily chart below:

Silver is clawing its way back to the scene of the crime after breaking down from a month-long consolidation and undercutting a critical shelf of former lows.

For me, trading back above 21.50 represents a green light – not only for silver but the entire precious metals space.

As I stated last week, it all comes down to risk appetite. Silver bid speaks to a healthy risk-seeking environment favoring all precious metals.

On the flip side, a lack of enthusiasm for the higher-beta play (silver) reminds me that no position is perhaps the best position.

I can’t help but view last week’s action as constructive. Bulls needed to step and support price fast, and they did.

Yes, silver continues to...

Silver futures slide to multi-month lows, undercutting a critical shelf of former support.

Regardless, we believe precious metals and their related stocks ultimately resolve higher, printing fresh all-time highs.

But before we can put money behind this bullish thesis, interest rates and the US dollar need to stop rising.

Check it out: