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Under The Hood (08-14-2020)

August 14, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome to this week's edition of "Under The Hood." You can read more about the column here.

What we do is analyze the most popular Robinhood stocks over the trailing week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We have some new additions coming for how we generate the list of most popular names, which we'll explain more each week as we add new data sets. This is a really exciting time for us. There are so many new data sources popping up so it's really just our responsibility to organize it to where it only tells us exactly what we want: An unusual increased level of interest for an asset.

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Telecom Stocks Party Like It's... 2020

August 13, 2020

Last night we held a Happy Hour With Traders and discussed market internals and breadth with some of the best Technicians in the business. We focused mainly on the more popular aggregate breadth indicators such as the percentage of new highs and lows, the percentage of stocks above the 200-day, and so on.

We also talked a bit about our process for analyzing breadth on a more granular level, which is simply by looking at our universe of indexes, sectors, industry groups, and individual stocks each week. When we run our scans and look at the individual charts themselves, we continue to see a higher number of new highs and bullish momentum characteristics.

This is evidence of improving breadth.

This week's Mystery Chart was one of the latest Industry Groups we noticed making fresh all-time highs. In this post, we'll discuss the chart and offer some trade ideas in some of the groups' strongest components.

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Weekly Preview (08-10-2020)

August 10, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

At the beginning of each week we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and give our outlook and some of the things we're watching for in the week ahead.

This week, we're going to highlight our US Index and Sector ETF tables and focus on the rotation we're seeing into more offensive areas of US Equities. We'll then tie this into what we're seeing across the FICC universe.

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Rotation Rotation Rotation: Transports Edition

August 10, 2020

The stocks in the Dow Jones Transportation Average are getting the bid that they needed for this overall market to continue its march higher. Going back and doing the work, it's hard for stocks as a group to keep ripping without rotation into some of the underperforming areas. Transports were right near the top of our underperformer list for a long time.

This is no longer the case. We've already talked about how Transports were the best performermers in the world for the month of July. This weekend we also pointed to the change in trend relative to the S&P500.

Today, let's look deeper into the components of the Dow Jones Transportation Average. Remember there are 20 of them and consist of Airlines, Rails, Trucks, Logistics etc. This chart plots the drawdown from 52week highs on the x-axis and the y-axis represents the performance since June 5th, which was the former highest weekly close for the index:

Click on Chart to Zoom in

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Under The Hood (08-07-2020)

August 8, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome to this week's edition of "Under The Hood." You can read more about the column here.

What we do is analyze the most popular Robinhood stocks over the trailing week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

This was another interesting week as the market continues to grind higher with zero regard for whatever bad news is thrown at it. With the S&P 500 knocking on the door of new all-time highs, let's take a look at what Robinhood investors were buying this week.

One thing I've learned very quickly through writing this column each week is that contrary to popular opinion, these Robinhood investors are more often than not on the right side of the trend.

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Playing The Natural Gas Bull Market

August 8, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Precious Metals are getting all of the Commodity attention these days, but the truth is there is a lot more opportunity in the space than just Metals.

In this post, I want to outline why we think Natural Gas is in a new bull market and how we're taking advantage of it.

Here's the weekly chart of Natural Gas we've been using as a roadmap for the last few years. In March, prices approached long-term support near 1.60 and volatility began to pick up, signaling to us that a trend change was potentially underway. And on top of that, momentum failed to get oversold which suggested sellers were getting exhausted.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

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Monthly Preview (August-2020)

August 3, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Every week we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories, along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and give our outlook, as well as some of the things we're watching for in the month ahead.

With July just coming to a close, we're going to focus on that month's returns for insight into the near-term and analyze a variety of monthly charts in order to view the recent performance within the context of the underlying trends.

This week, we'll highlight the broad-based bullish performance across just about every asset class in July, as well as one of the tailwinds for this which was the weak US Dollar.

Here is our list of International Indexes. We continue to see outperformance from the US, China, and other areas of Asia such as Taiwan (which is not shown in the table, but made new all-time highs this month). The Shanghai Composite and Wilshire 5000 are outperforming their peers with significant gains over every timeframe.

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[Premium] Details For August Monthly Strategy Session

August 1, 2020

These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Tuesday August 4th @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Tuesday:

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S&P500 Makes New All-time Highs

August 1, 2020

What do we know for sure about New All-time Highs?

We know for a fact that they are NOT a characteristic of a downtrend. We've gone back and done the work, and as it turns out, New All-time Highs are normally things we see in uptrends!

With the S&P500 going out at New All-time Highs yesterday, and the Nasdaq making it now 3 months in a row of all-time highs, is the bet you want to make that we're in a downtrend for stocks?

This 10-month moving average strategy is one of the more simple, yet effective trend following systems that I know of. If the S&P500 closes the month above its 10-month moving average, we want to be long. If the S&P500 closes below its 10-month moving average, we do not.

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Under The Hood (07-31-2020)

July 31, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome to this week's edition of "Under The Hood." You can read more about the column here.

What we do is analyze the most popular Robinhood stocks over the trailing week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them. This was a busy week so let's get right into it.

It was surprising not to see Facebook $FB on this week's most popular list heading into earnings. All the other big tech names were. We'll cover this more below.