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All Star Options

[Options Premium] Squeeze Candidate

January 16, 2025

One of my junior analysts (Rick! He's the Man!) brought a stock to my attention that is in an attractive sector that could fly under the right conditions. 

Add to this that there is a high short interest and there is "meme" stock potential, and this could really be an upside portfolio-buster for us.

 

All Star Options

[Options] What Do We Do With This Mess?

January 14, 2025

In today's Flow Show, Steve Strazza and I discuss our growing frustrations with the current market environment. Seems neither our bullish bets nor our bearish bets are gaining any traction in this tape.

What can we do with this information?

Watch the show below to see how we arrived at the details for today's trade.

 

Here's the Play:

I like entering into a $FCX February 30/35/45/50 Iron Condor for an approximately 70-cent net credit. This means I'll be short equal amounts of the February 35 puts and 45 calls, and long the same amount of 30 puts and 50 calls to cap my maximum risk:

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Let's Sell Some Premium

January 13, 2025

With $VIX currently sporting a 20-handle, it feels like a good time to add some delta-neutral exposure to the portfolio.

So I'm scanning the list of liquid sector ETFs to see which one's offer good premiums and potential range-bound trading action.

Here's what I found:

 

All Star Options

Disagreement = Potential Profits

January 12, 2025

We had a discussion in the All Star Options chatroom yesterday about differences of opinion that got my mind spinning in a very positive way.

Sometimes, we traders might get a little offended when we've done the work to come up with a trade idea and share it with others -- then someone else offers a hot take on why the originator of the idea might be wrong. For some of us, we get momentarily annoyed, then we forget it and move on. For others, the "new information" causes us to abandon our trade thesis all together, sending us back to the drawing board in a state of frustration.

In the worst case, the originator of the idea gets offended, defensive, and perhaps even verbally abusive. And then both sides engage that way and nothing good comes from it.

I'd argue my best response is to meet the counter-intelligence as an opportunity to dig deeper to see if perhaps I missed something? If I find that I have, great! I'm better for it. If not, then I'll just end up feeling better about my opinion.

But the real meta thought here is this: WE WANT PEOPLE TO DISAGREE WITH OUR IDEAS.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] This Resource is Ready To Break its Range

January 10, 2025

As stocks continue to slide, there are certain sectors and individual names that are beginning to reveal their strength.

It is times like these that offer better than average potential rewards to risk if we mind our risks carefully.

Today's trade is in a stock that looks to be emerging from a two-year consolidation that has come at the end of a massive 10-year base!

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Textron Might Be Textbook?

January 8, 2025

Today's trade offers a nice opportunity to add some diversification to my mostly long book.

It's no secret that there has been a lot of weakness that has been masked by the performance of the broader indexes. 

We've got a well-diversified business that is showing signs of completing a pretty large top, so it might offer us some alpha on the downside if weakness spreads.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Vertical Takeoff

January 3, 2025

Today's trade is in a stock who's price action is mimicking what their products delivers for its customers -- it's going vertical! How's that for kizmet?

That trade might classify as a "hard trade," but I'll be doing what I can to increase the odds of success in my favor.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] As Long As This Pattern Holds...

December 30, 2024

This post has been made public after the trade was closed and is no longer active. All information shared is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

As long as the pattern in today's trade holds up high, then we can profit in today's trade.

If it follows through on the upside, all the better and we'll achieve our profit target all the sooner. But as long as it doesn't falter, that's all we need to profit.

Either way, we're leveraging what the options market is offering us to increase our odds of success.

Here's a one-year chart of YPF Sociedad Anonima $YPF:

All Star Options

[Options Premium] High and Tight

December 27, 2024

If the bull market is going to resume higher, we think the semiconductors will lead the way. 

We positioned in a bellwether last week. Today, we're going to get into a name that'll give us a little more juice if we're right.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] What a Racket

December 23, 2024

So JC just got back from a family trip to Disney and all he can talk about is "what a racket" Disney is.

Everything is overpriced, yet people pay. And they pay happily.

It sounds like a pretty good business -- especially if you're an investor.

Of course, we aren't investors here. But all this talk about Disney has us looking at the chart and we like the setup. 

So we're going to get involved.

All Star Options

[Options] We Either Win or Glean Useful Information

December 17, 2024

 

In today's Flow Show, Steve Strazza and I discuss the "real" stock market and what's going on that isn't indicative of what the $QQQ or $SPY is telling us.

Are we setting up for a regime change? Or a change of character for this bull market?

Well, one of the stocks most likely to answer this question is Nvidia $NVDA.

Here's a one-year chart of $NVDA: