After more than a decade of basing, the SGD/USD is finally punching through a key breakout level—the 61.8% retracement of its 2011–2020 decline.
This isn’t just another FX pair catching a bid. Singapore is one of the most critical currencies in global trade. The city-state controls the Strait of Malacca—a vital artery for global shipping.
When the Singapore Dollar is strong, it's usually saying something about global trade flows, risk appetite, and Asia's relative strength on a global stage.
Singapore, plainly put, is the financial hub of Southeast Asia.
So it makes sense to see it break out as we continue to see rotation into EM, and Asia in particular– as well as weakness in the US Dollar.
Zooming out, this is a textbook rounding bottom. The long base. The range-bound price action. The upside resolution. This is classic trend reversal stuff.
And it’s not just the currency flashing a regime change.
We’ve been pounding the table on the rotation taking place across Asian equity markets. Vietnam, Taiwan, Thailand, China—you name it.
The message is clear: the tide is turning and participation is broadening across Asia.
It’s no longer just Japan. Everything else is starting to work.
One of the key forces driving this rotation is a weak US Dollar. When the dollar stumbles, emerging market currencies catch a bid—and local equities tend to follow.
Here’s the latest in the mix, the Korean Won:
Like many Asian currencies, the Won spent over two years grinding lower in a steady downtrend. Earlier this year, it undercut key support. But instead of breaking down, it snapped back violently.