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One of the most effective ways to increase our odds of success is by focusing on assets that are not only trending higher on absolute terms but also outperforming their alternatives. 

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Alfonso’s Daily Note
Alfonso

A simple moving average is a lagging indicator that technicians use to help with the trend recognition process. It smooths out the erratic day-to-day action and shows us the mean price over a stated period.

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Alfonso’s Daily Note
Alfonso

Last Friday, Steve asked me to send over the most bearish charts from my chartbook as a good exercise in playing devil’s advocate internally with the team.

Off the top of...

Alfonso’s Daily Note
Alfonso

When it comes to the US economy it is all about the consumer.

It's the best gauge of how things are going.

The Consumer...

Alfonso’s Daily Note
Alfonso

We’re halfway through Q1, and February is historically a weak month for stocks.

But here’s the key—seasonal weakness doesn’t usually kick in until the second half of the...

Alfonso’s Daily Note
Alfonso

As market participants, objectivity is everything as it allows us to flip the script when necessary.

That’s why I’m always on the lookout for cracks in my thesis.

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Alfonso’s Daily Note
Alfonso

Health Care is one of the largest sectors in the Russell 2000, making up 17%—just behind Financials at 19% and Industrials at 17.5%. 

That makes it a key player in...

Alfonso’s Daily Note
Alfonso

I'm in the UK visiting my sister for a couple weeks, and I have to tell you—I love it here.

The vibes, the peace, and the sense of adventure just hit different. It never...

Alfonso’s Daily Note
Alfonso

When it comes to global equities, we’re seeing participation broaden in a way we haven’t seen in a long time.

Europe stands out with a growing list of countries ripping to...

Alfonso’s Daily Note
Alfonso

Have you heard about these electric helicopter stocks?

They’re being called the "Uber of the skies," racing to launch air taxis in major cities sooner than most people...

Alfonso’s Daily Note
Alfonso

When it comes to inflation expectations, the Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities vs the US Treasury Bonds ratio is one of the best ways to measure it.

When investors...

Alfonso’s Daily Note
Alfonso

When it comes to Canada, it's not about tariffs or political headlines making the rounds these days.

The real focus is the Canadian Dollar.

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Alfonso’s Daily Note
Alfonso

Every year, without exception, there's always a new headline, a fresh "fear," or just another reason to sell.

Whether it's a new geopolitical tension, economic concerns,...

Alfonso’s Daily Note
Alfonso

Hanging out in New York City this week has been such a blast. 

Today, I gave an extra-long presentation on the outlook for global equities. We talked it all out in...

Alfonso’s Daily Note
Alfonso

Yesterday was unreal. We visited the NYSE with Jay Woods and got a full tour of the place.

Walking the trading floor during market hours was an incredible experience—...

Alfonso’s Daily Note
Alfonso