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When it comes to the US markets, Tech stocks are the heavyweights.

They make up roughly 30% of the S&P 500 and hold significant weight in the major indexes.

These are cash-rich, profitable companies...

Alfonso's Daily Note
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Alfonso

The Dollar has been surprisingly quiet over the past six months — barely moving on the surface.

But beneath that calm, commercial hedgers have been steadily accumulating at levels we haven’t seen since 2021.

...

Alfonso's Daily Note
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Alfonso

Sector rotation is the lifeblood of any bull market.

As we head into Q4, I’m thinking about where the next wave of outperformance comes from.

Small-caps have been left for dead. Nobody wants to touch them, and sentiment couldn’t be more...

Alfonso's Daily Note
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Alfonso

One of the things I love most about bull markets is how they eventually come for everything.

The winners drag the losers along. Leaders expand, laggards catch up, and even the weakest groups finally get their turn.

That’s broadening...

Alfonso's Daily Note
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Alfonso

Dow Theory has always been one of my favorite topics.It’s wild how principles from over 100 years ago still apply today.Back then, Charles Dow split the market into two groups: the companies that made the goods (Industrials) and the ones that...

Alfonso's Daily Note
Alfonso
ASC

The best part about the end of the month is digging into a fresh batch of monthly charts.

“Whenever in doubt, zoom out” — that’s something I’ve learned from JC over the years.

Monthly charts make it impossible to ignore the bigger picture...

Alfonso's Daily Note
Alfonso
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rspd vs rsps

One of the clearest ways to gauge market risk appetite is by tracking where investors are putting their money.

For me, the best way to do this is by comparing Consumer Discretionary to Consumer Staples.

Discretionary stocks represent...

Alfonso's Daily Note
Alfonso
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One of the best ways to read the market is by watching where money is moving.

Capital flows tell you who’s leaning in, who’s sitting back, and how much risk investors are willing to take.

A favorite tool I use for this is the Consumer...

Alfonso's Daily Note
Alfonso

Risk appetite is alive and well. Every dip gets bought — buyers are stepping in immediately, and pullbacks have been scarce and shallow.

Lately, it’s not just about buying stocks that are going up — it’s about buying the ones going up the most...

Alfonso's Daily Note
Alfonso

Just wrapped up an incredible three days in Toronto with the ASC crew and friends for the Portfolio Accelerator conference.

Every four months we get together, share ideas, sharpen our process, and push each other to get better.

One of the...

Alfonso's Daily Note
Alfonso
ASC