If you're reading this it's probably because you've read our Table of the Week where we identified roughly 100 of the strongest stocks in the S&P 500. After digging into the charts of all these stocks, we came up with a handful of setups that we believe are currently offering the best reward/risk. Here they are, in no particular order.
We want to be buying stocks that are in the strongest uptrends. One way we identify them is by looking at momentum which we use the 14-day RSI for. The strongest uptrends do not get oversold, or fall to RSI levels below 30. In fact, the strongest uptrends often stay above the 40-50 level and constantly print overbought readings above 70.
The S&P 500 registered an extreme oversold reading below 20 during the violent correction that began in late February. Here's a look.
The boys were out with a bullish piece on China stocks, citing oversold conditions. As JC said: "If the world isn’t ending after all, this could be an interesting place to look for huge winners."
So I've got my eye on a big name that has held up pretty well, all things considered.
With that said, we were a bit cautious about buying the potential breakouts in USD/INR and JPY/INR until we got confirmation, but we've seen some solid follow-through over the last two days.
This post will outline how to approach getting involved in the trade if you're not already.
Today we wrote a post updating our market view, which is that we expect further chop but are looking to put cash to work slowly on the long side. In that post we outlined what we'd need to see to get aggressively long, so please check it out.
This post is going to outline several stocks that are presenting attractive reward/risk scenarios at current levels, so if you need long exposure this is where we want to be.
In this post, we're going to recap our views from the last two months, discuss our current market view, and outline what conditions need to present themselves for us to be aggressively buying stocks.
First, let's recap our posts from the last few months that outlined why we were taking a more defensive approach towards stocks.
For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it’s a custom index or inverted, who knows!
We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.
You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?
Today JC discussed our March playbook for Members and outlined some areas we'd be looking for a bounce with well-defined risk and others that we want to be completely avoiding.
I wanted to share a few breadth measures to provide context around the recent decline and see if they offer any clues around what's next.
There are some interesting moves happening in the Indian Rupee, so let's take a look and update our risk management levels and targets.
Here's the US Dollar/Indian Rupee pair on a longer-term basis. What's clear from the weekly chart is that our thesis remains intact. As long as prices are above 69, then the path of least resistance is still higher.