The big level that I've been watching in S&Ps has been that 1880-1890 area representing support in August and September, which was also resistance back in early...
A big reason why I've been bearish towards the U.S. Stock Market is because I'm in the weight-of-the-evidence business and globally stocks have been getting crushed. It was only a matter of time before the selling came to the United States Index. A...
That was fun wasn't it? S&Ps lost a cool 13% since the last week of 2015. You think that's a lot? Emerging Markets lost 16% during that period. The Russell 2000 Small-cap Index lost over 17%. Micro-caps lost over 18%. 13 is nothing. And get used...
While everyone is making a big fuss about S&Ps making new lows, or Oil hitting new lows, or the amount of stocks in the NYSE hitting new lows, believe it or not, there are plenty of things making new highs. So although we've been bearish towards...
Today I want to point to a chart that a really smart friend of mine has been sending me for months. He prefers to remain nameless, you know how these sell side guys roll, so we'll just call him Mr. T. In this Chart, Mr. T has been telling me since the...
In all markets, there are uptrends and there are downtrends. And then, of course, there are periods where there is no trend at all and it's just a mess. Ultimately these messes find away to clean themselves up and a new beautiful trend is born. This...
This year has gotten off to an awfully noisy start. When you consider that most of what we've seen in the first week of 2016 is just a continuation of ongoing trends, you would think that people would consider this to be normal. But since there is a...
With all the noise surrounding the recent sell-off in the U.S. stock market, it can be easy to forget that there are some areas of the market doing much better than others, and there is a lot of money to be made in the widening of those spreads. This...
We're down 9% from the all-time highs in the S&P500 and I see people acting like 2-year olds that just had their favorite toy taken away from them. "Markets in turmoil".....really? Why, because the market is down 9% from it's highs last year after...
The global markets are a never ending puzzle that we're all trying to solve. There is never a straight answer because everything is always changing. At different points throughout the never ending evolution of markets, I have what think at the time to...
Ratio analysis is one of the most valuable tools that we have as market participants. It's important to recognize where money is flowing out of, and where it is going into. This is the case when it comes to stocks, bonds, commodities and currency...
Most of us in the trading and investing universe have the freedom to buy or sell anything we want, whenever we want. Sure, there are some exceptions out there like long-only mutual fund managers that have to pretty much be fully allocated at all times...
When calculating risk in a given trade or investment, I find that opportunity cost is often overlooked. Remember, it's not just how much money you can potentially lose on a given position, it's the opportunity to make money elsewhere that you are...
There is a lot of noise surrounding the period between Christmas and the start of the new year. Santa Claus rally this, end of 2016 predictions that, what worked this year, what didn't..... The truth is, most of that doesn't matter and is just a lot...
As we close out 2015, one of the biggest stories of the year has to be the crash in Energy prices. The CRB Commodities Index is heavily weighted in Energy and, as an Index, has fallen over 20% this year now down almost 65% from its peak in 2008. Here...
This week I sat down with Frances Horodelski over at Business News Network to discuss the disastrous implications of a breakdown in the Dow Jones Industrial Average below last week's lows. Apple continues to be a 'sell on any strength' stock and an...
This week I had the opportunity to join Joe Weisenthal and Alix Steel on Bloomberg's What’d You Miss? On this appearance I wanted to follow up on our Apple discussion...
Technical Analysis of Stock Trends by Robert D. Edwards and John Magee is widely considered to be the Bible of Technical Analysis. Today I thought it would be a good idea to share with you guys Page 1 of Chapter 1, so you can see...
Since October 23rd, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has been a place where we've wanted to stay away. This was the day that it first crossed above what was then, and still is, a flat 200 day simple moving average. When prices are anywhere near a flat...
The noise surrounding the U.S. Interest Rate Market has been all Fed all the time. For headlines and theory, that's great. For market participants who live in the real world, we like to focus on what the market is actually doing, not what a...