USD/INR is at an important inflection point that should set the tone for this pair in 2019. Here's what we're watching for clues into its next major move.
Since early October, a big question for us has been, "How low can US Stocks go? Obviously no one knew then, and no one knows now, so all we did know was...
Autos were some of the worst performers in 2018, and new lows on a relative basis to start 2019 suggest the first quarter may bring more of the same for this sector. This post will outline why we want to continue to sell strength in this sector, as...
This is going to be a quick post, but I noticed a chart during my analysis that was too nice not to share. It just so happens that it's a great example of how a stock should act when transitioning from a downtrend to an uptrend.
I spent the New Year in Lake Tahoe, which is one of my favorite and most beautiful places in the world. Heading up to the lake with family and friends for a few days (and leaving my laptop at home) really helps clear my head and let's me focus on the...
It's been a great couple of months for Bond bulls. As unprepared investors worry about their portfolios and financial media outlets irresponsibly call this...
While we couldn't be happier that U.S. stocks got destroyed this quarter, let's not forget about all of the other markets out there. US Treasury Bonds have had a very...
There are just a few days left in 2018 and it's tempting to make some last minute moves to improve your annual results in the old portfolio. But is it a good idea?
This is obviously not my first 'last few days of the year' experience...
From a public markets perspective the Marijuana Industry is small, so small that it could go to zero tomorrow and nobody would notice. In late August we started covering the space after...
Somewhere along the way, a large majority of U.S. citizens convinced themselves that the market owes them something. They think that if they "invest" in the stock market, that they've somehow earned the right to make money over time. I'm not sure if...
The market is a beautiful thing, particularly the analysis of supply and demand behavior. I'm incredibly fortunate to be a practicing Technician for almost a decade and a half and have...
Bonds funds did a good job of getting everyone on the boat leaning one way, only to reverse and slam them in the other direction. The whole world seems to think interest rates have no where to go but up. However, those of us who follow the price of...
Bonds Funds are breaking out to new 3-month highs. This comes after consensus this September was for higher US rates, and therefore, lower prices for bonds. When the market is leaning too much in any one direction, the unwind of that extreme...
So far in the early stages of this market correction (dare I say Bear Market? Too Soon?), I've been aggressively deploying Bear Call Spreads to attack bearish trading opportunities.
Bear Call Spreads are a version of a vertical spread...
There is a reason we look at the stock market from a global perspective. It's because we invest in a global market. Stocks in America weren't going up the past couple of years because of what was happening in DC or New York. Stocks in the U.S. were...
Two weeks ago we wrote that the weight of the evidence was suggesting the major indexes in India were getting ready to resume lower. While we were a few days early...
There have been many whipsaws in the Commodities' market as of late, with few intermediate-term trends allowing us to trade them with well-defined risk. Every now and again the market provides us with a clear opportunity, this time it's in the form of...
There's a saying among market participants that "all gaps need to be filled" or "all gaps are eventually filled", but as with most market generalizations, this saying...