From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The US dollar isn’t going down without a fight.

Investors weren’t given much time to celebrate the breakdown as it...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The US Dollar Index’s $DXY break toward fresh lows resembles a defiant crawl more than an earnest march.

An image of...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The US Dollar Index $DXY has resumed its march toward fresh lows.

It took a less direct route, meandering sideways for the past seven months.

Nevertheless, our roadmap for a DXY...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

First stop, Singapore!

Steve Strazza and Sean McLaughlin are headed east on a whirlwind...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Most emerging market currencies have been in beast mode.

The Chinese yuan is a notable exception.

...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Dollar bulls, be warned!

The US Dollar Index $DXY is sliding toward the lower bounds of a multi-month range. 

Yes, it’s still a sideways mess. And it will remain a mess as long as...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Markets are bracing for tomorrow’s FOMC decision – including the dollar.

That’s right – we have more indecisive action on tap. Let’s call it the knee-jerk before the knee-jerk, with a...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Petrocurrencies and crude oil futures are diverging.

The currencies that benefit most from higher oil prices refuse to roll with crude’s steady decline. 

Perhaps it’s more about the...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

"Buy stocks if the US Dollar Index $DXY trades below 105!"

Simple and straightforward. That was our...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Here we go again… 

The USD/JPY is breaking out.

I can’t think of a stronger trend than the...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Dollar up… 

Everything else? 

Down.

Last Friday’s action sent flashbacks of 2022 across my screen.

It was all King Dollar last week as risk assets and bonds...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Dollar bulls hold the line.

The US Dollar Index $DXY is clinging to the 100 level, refusing to let go despite new 52-week highs for the British pound and a steady rise in the...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

"The bigger the base, the higher in space."

That’s how I learned it from JC.

But he wasn’t the technician who coined the adage. It was actually handed down from...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

"Rates, the US dollar, crude oil, and the S&P 500... repeat!"

These charts swirl atop every investor’s mind as markets await the upcoming rate hike decision.

Meanwhile,...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

A weaker dollar remains a key ingredient for a risk-on rally. Yet, like interest rates, the buck refuses to roll over.

The US Dollar Index $DXY continues to hover well below last year’s...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Trendless price action remains the way right now for currency markets.

Yes, some of our bearish dollar trades have triggered and are trending. But most have not. 

It doesn’t mean...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The US Dollar Index $DXY is dropping – and our bearish USD trade ideas are beginning to trigger.

While I tend to stick to major developed-market (DM) currencies...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Commercial hedgers are taking an interest in the Canadian dollar. 

The CFTC has finally updated its records after the recent data breach.

And, as expected, we have some...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Fed Chair Jerome Powell spoke this afternoon after the central bank announced a 25-basis-point rate hike. 

The fed funds futures were all over the place, from pricing in a 25-basis-point...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Fear runs rampant across financial markets as the US Dollar Index $DXY prints fresh one-month lows.

Wait… what?

I thought the USD was a safe haven.

Perhaps it is....

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

What year is it? 

Is it 2023 or 2022? Because it’s starting to feel like last year all over again…

No, Will Smith hasn’t slapped anyone (that I’m aware of). And I’m...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Markets continue to churn sideways, frustrating most investors.

Instead of allowing the market to dictate your emotions along with the herd, let it simply highlight the path of least...