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October Strategy Session: 3 Key Takeaways

October 6, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

We held our October Monthly Strategy Session Monday night. Premium Members can access and rewatch it here.

Non-members can get a quick recap of the call simply by reading this post each month.

By focusing on long-term, monthly charts, the idea is to take a step back and put things into the context of their structural trends. This is easily one of our most valuable exercises as it forces us to put aside the day-to-day noise and simply examine markets from a “big-picture” point of view.

With that as our backdrop, let’s dive right in and discuss three of the most important charts and/or themes from this month’s call.

Energy hasn't even broken out yet

October 6, 2022

People get so angry when I tell them that Energy stocks haven't even broken out yet...

The historic outperformance in Energy over the past 2 years is just the pregame.

The real party hasn't even gotten started.

The DJ is still setting up....

We haven't even mixed the jungle juice.

Take a look at the Energy Sector Index still stuck below those 2008 highs. And its largest component Exxon Mobil (23.7% weighting) below those same levels:

Can Elon Secure TWTR Funding?

October 6, 2022

Now that there’s some clarity around the Twitter $TWTR/Elon Musk deal, the focus is shifting to how exactly it will get done.

Today’s reports claim that Apollo, Sixth Street, and others have ended conversations with Musk’s team to provide debt financing.

As it turns out, $44 billion is a lot of money, even for the richest man in the world…

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The Short Report (10-05-2022)

October 5, 2022

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as The Hall of Famers, The  Minor Leaguers, and The 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to The Short Report.

...

US Dollar: "Can't Stop. Won't Stop."

October 5, 2022

Stocks have been under pressure consistently since Q1 last year. That was 20 months ago.

That's precisely when the United States Dollar stopped falling and started to rise.

And this wasn't just against the Euro, which represents 58% of the Dollar Index, we saw Dollar strength across currencies from all over the world.

The US Dollar was the only safe haven asset this year. It wasn't US Treasury Bonds, it wasn't Japanese Yen and it certainly was not Gold.

The only safe haven was the US Dollar.