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When Energy Creates Wealth

September 1, 2022

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza 

Regardless of the time frame, we continue to see leadership and relative strength from energy stocks.

Outside of utilities, it is the only sector flaunting positive returns on a year-to-date basis.

Even over the past several weeks, with the broader market coming under increasing pressure, energy stands out as the most resilient group.

When we look at the structural trend for energy stocks, this makes a lot more sense.

While most sectors and indexes are facing downward sloping or sideways 200-day moving averages, indicating that the path of least resistance is lower, energy stocks remain in a strong primary uptrend.

While the corrective action of the past few days has not left energy unscathed, the Energy Sector SPDR $XLE remains above our risk level of 79.

As long as this is the case, the bias is higher for energy, and we want to be looking for the strongest stocks to buy as a way to express our bullish thesis.

This brings us to today...

Cevian Boosts ALV Stake to 10%

September 1, 2022

The largest insider transaction on today's list is a Form 4 filing by Cevian Capital II GP LTD.

The hedge fund reported a purchase of roughly $9.1 million in the automotive safety supplier Autoliv $ALV. It now has a total stake of 10%.

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2 to 100 Club

2 to 100 Club (08-31-2022)

August 31, 2022

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to the 2 to 100 Club.

As many of you know, something we've been working on internally is using various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey...

COP CEO Lance Makes Big FCX Buy

August 31, 2022

The most significant insider activity on today's list comes in a Form 4 filing by Ryan M. Lance, the CEO at ConocoPhillips $COP.

However, it wasn’t COP shares that Lance just reported purchases worth roughly $1 million in.

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Follow The Flow (08-29-2022)

August 29, 2022

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.

In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.

What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.

And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the...

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The Minor Leaguers (08-29-2022)

August 29, 2022

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to our latest Minor Leaguers report.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

And it doesn't have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.

The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to...

Leaders are Leading: Energy Stocks Break Out Again

August 29, 2022

These days it seems like Energy stocks are acting strong regardless of whether there is strength or weakness in the broader markets.

I'm sure you've noticed.

The Long Energy trade remains in full force if the Sector Index $XLE is above those former highs from 2016-2018:

CEO Rady Continues To Buy AAT Shares

August 29, 2022

Ernest S. Rady, the chairman and CEO of American Assets Trust $AAT, continues to appear on our list with his eighth Form 4 filing in the trailing month.

Rady reported his latest purchase on Friday, revealing another 25,000 shares, equivalent to $719,600.

The Stock Market Wrecking Ball

August 28, 2022

There's one major catalyst that can be a wrecking ball in a potential bull market for stocks.

What's going to stop a year-end rally?

I think if there's anything that can stop it, it's further strength in the US Dollar.

This summer, the markets have only reiterated the negative correlation between stocks and the US Dollar.

A little bit of dollar weakness over the past 6 weeks, or lack of progress to be more accurate, sparked a rally in stocks and crypto assets.

But as Dollar strength came back recently, the pressure on stocks and crypto has returned.

So let's take a closer look.