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Dow Reality > Dow Theory

July 10, 2022

You hear people talk about Dow Theory all the time don't you?

What you might not know is that there's a lot more to Dow Theory than you think.

In fact, that whole DJ Industrials & Transports confirming or diverging from one another is not even in my top 5 most important Dow Theory Tenets.

You can read about what's actually important about Dow Theory here. Give it a read and then ...

Chart of the Day: Healthcare Profits

July 9, 2022

When you look at as many charts as I do, you quickly start to notice when certain charts just don't look like most of the others.

Healthcare is one of those.

We discussed it all on this week's Live Conference Call. Premium Members click here to watch and download the slides.

And if you're not a Premium Member yet, just give us a call and we'll set you up: (323) 421-7910

The Healthcare conversation we're having is a really important one. Notice how with S&Ps, Nasdaq and other major indexes breaking down and completing tops, Healthcare has just traded sideways.

We call this, "Relative Strength":

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International Hall of Famers (07-08-2022)

July 8, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs. We’ve also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It’s got all the big names and more--but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let’s dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here’s this week’s list:

...

[Video] Fox Business w/ Charles Payne: Stocks, Gold & Semis

July 8, 2022

We're going on 32 consecutive weeks of more stocks making new lows than new highs.

In bull markets you see the opposite.

Gold has not been in an uptrend in almost 2 years. I think one day it eventually breaks out. But what's the rush?

Let it break out!

I discussed all of this and more with Charles Payne on Fox Business yesterday.

Here's the full clip:

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The Inside Scoop (07-06-2022)

July 7, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Energy has been the clear leader in 2022. The sector posted a record-setting start to the year, even as the broader market sold off. 

Whether it's our Inside Scoop universe or any other scan, we’ve gotten used to leaning on the strongest stocks in the oil field for long exposure.

As participation narrowed for US stocks throughout the second quarter, we cautioned that energy had become an easy target and was vulnerable to catching lower with the broader market.

About a month ago, that happened as bears finally came for energy. In a matter of weeks, much of this year’s progress came undone, and so did a handful of our stops.

While there has certainly been short-term technical damage, the primary trends are intact. And while these stocks have been hit hard over the trailing month, there's little evidence that they're done being leaders over longer time frames.

Once this corrective action passes, we expect energy stocks to resume higher and offer plenty of bullish opportunities. But in the meantime, they are susceptible to deeper drawdowns and increased selling pressure.

...

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2 to 100 Club

2 to 100 Club (07-06-2022)

July 7, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to the 2 to 100 Club.

As many of you know, something we've been working on internally is using various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during...