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Happy 1-Year Anniversary Bear Market

February 24, 2022

This month marks the one year anniversary of the top in stocks.

And more specifically, I mean the top in the internals of the U.S. Stock Market. Remember, that's the best things were, and it's been a painful deterioration ever since, particularly for most U.S. Index Fund investors, growth investors and most individual U.S. stock pickers.

The new highs list these days is loaded up with ADRs, Metals stocks, Staples and Energy. Most of the other stocks have been struggling. Not all of them are down, but many are sideways at best.

This chart really tells the story of what's been going on. We discussed it on Tuesday night's call:

February Conference Call: 5 Key Takeaways

February 23, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We held our February Mid-Month Conference Call on Tuesday. ASC Premium Members can click here to review the recording and the slide deck.

In this post, we’ll summarize the call by highlighting five of the most important charts and/or themes we covered, along with commentary on each.

Let’s get right into it!

The Trade of a Generation

February 22, 2022

Are you betting this trend continues?

Do you think Technology stocks can keep dominating like this, particularly vs Energy?

Most Americans are making that bet.

Look at your typical American portfolios. They own a bunch of Tech and almost no Energy.

[Premium] Trade Of The Week

February 22, 2022

The market hasn't been easy off late and a sideways move means that market participants get trapped more often than not. Today we have a trade setup from the Chemicals that has some eyeballs on it. We thought this might be a good time to check it out.

Let's take a look at the trade for this week!

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Under the Hood (02-21-2022)

February 21, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to our latest Under the Hood column, where we'll cover all the action for the week ended February 18, 2022. This report is published biweekly and rotated with our Minor Leaguers column.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Watch this video for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based...

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Follow the Flow (02-21-2022)

February 21, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow. In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.

What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.

And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the stock is about to move...

Investing: Earth > America

February 21, 2022

It's a big world out there.

Our portfolios don't have to revolve around what's happening in silicon valley.

That was maybe a good way to think the past 10 years, but that's a terrible way to think today, and potentially over the next 10 years.

I have no idea. And neither do you. So maybe it will be helpful to try and keep an open mind.

But in the meantime, let's worry about the now.

[Video] Pardon The Price Action w/ JC Parets & Steve Strazza | International Stocks Take The Lead

February 21, 2022

On this episode of Pardon The Price Action, we continue to see cyclical stocks showing relative strength and popping up on our new highs list.

Are you still stuck in American Growth stocks, or have you moved on?

Metals and Mining stocks are also breaking out to new highs, both in the U.S. and Internationally.

The U.S. is the worst performing country in the Western Hemisphere in 2022. Are you paying attention?

Where do we go from here? What are we buying? What's the next move?

All this and more on this week's episode of Pardon The Price Action.

Check out the full video:

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International Hall of Famers (02-18-2022)

February 18, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We’ve also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It’s got all the big names and more--but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let’s dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here’s this week’s list:

...

U.S. = Worst Performer In Western Hemisphere

February 17, 2022

"JC I only invest in U.S. Stocks"

Why, because those are the ones that did the best over the past decade?

Is it too challenging for you to overcome your home country bias?

Or is it your recency bias that you can't get over?

My guess is that it's likely a healthy dose of both...

Here are your U.S. Indexes.

Messy, is putting it nicely....

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2 to 100 Club

2 to 100 Club (02-16-2022)

February 16, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to the 2 to 100 Club.

As many of you know, something we've been working on internally is using various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during...