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The Outperformers

October 22, 2021

We debuted a new scan recently- The Outperformers.

The Outperformers is our newest scan that pinpoints the very best stocks in the market. It’s the fastest, easiest way to find quality names that are primed for major moves.

The goal is that as the market rally progresses, the sector rotation within the market will reflect in this scan. So while our Top/Down Analysis helps us with the broader view of the market, this Bottom/Up scan makes sure that we catch the slightest change in sentiment.

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There's Value Beneath the Surface

October 21, 2021

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge 

September saw significant selling pressure in equity markets. The S&P 500 suffered its worst drawdown since last year, and many of the major indexes made a lower low. But when we look under the surface, it really wasn’t that bad. 

We didn’t get an expansion in new lows to confirm the new lows in price. Instead, these readings remained muted across most of the major averages in the US.

Since then, the bulls have regained control. Breadth has improved throughout October as the indexes have rallied back toward their former highs. Although we haven’t seen a real expansion in participation at the index level, things have definitely been moving in the right direction.

Let's talk about it.

Here’s a look down the cap scale at new 52-week highs for all three S&P indexes, from large to small:

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The Risk Revival

October 20, 2021

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge

Most risk assets peaked during Q1 or May of this year and have consolidated in sideways ranges ever since.

But the bulls have started to take control of many of these trends. We're seeing more and more upside resolutions -- and this phenomenon isn't limited to Crude Oil, Rates, AUD/JPY, and cyclical stocks. Similar patterns are also playing out when we look at intermarket ratios, particularly those we use to measure risk appetite.

In today’s post, we'll dive into one of our favorite risk-appetite relationships and check for price confirmation in a variety of ratios.

First up is none other than large-cap consumer discretionary versus consumer staples stocks: 

Buy In October and Get Yourself Sober

October 20, 2021

They love writing about 'Selling in May and going away'.

Every year, they just can't get enough of it.

But what about, "Remember to buy in November"?

Historically the best 3 month period of the year for stocks is from November through January.

As my pal Jeff Hirsch likes to say, "Buy in October and Get Yourself Sober".

Here are all the seasonal cycles for the S&P500. The Green line includes every year since 1950 (1-year Cycle), the Blue line includes every year ending in 1 since 1951 (Decennial Cycle), and in Gray every post-election year since 1953 (Presidential Cycle):

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Follow The Flow (10-18-2021)

October 18, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow The Flow. In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish… but NOT both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients. Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades. What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind… and they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the stock is about to move in their direction and make them a pretty penny.

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Under The Hood (10-18-2021)

October 18, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to our latest "Under The Hood" column, where we'll cover all the action for the week ended October 15, 2021. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated with our "Minor Leaguers" column.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

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International Hall Of Famers (10-15-2021)

October 15, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall Of Famers list is composed of the 50 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It’s got all the big names and more -- but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the big US names on our original Hall Of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the 50 largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive in and take a look at what some of the largest stocks around the world are doing.

Here’s this week’s list:

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2 to 100 Club (10-13-2021)

October 13, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to the 2 to 100 Club.

As many of you know, something we’ve been working on internally is using various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. It’s really been working for us!

One way we’re doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

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Young Aristocrats (October 2021)

October 13, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Dividend Aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street. These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to long-term-minded shareholders.

As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world. Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.

Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That’s why we’re turning our attention to the future aristocrats. In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we’re curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for five to nine years.

We call them the Young Aristocrats, and the idea is that these are “stocks that pay you to make money.” Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum & relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.

The Tata Group Universe

October 13, 2021

What's the one thing that's on everyone's mind today? What has caught your attention today? Or rather, what has demanded your attention today?

The Tata Group of course! Such a move hasn't come along in this group in the longest time. A post dedicated to this group is definitely the need of the hour.

The Tata Group is synonymous with Trust, Integrity, and Loyalty. There is a certain feel-good factor added to the group based on the people at the helm and their activities. While there is a place for everything, once you look at price action, nothing else matters.

That's the beauty of Technical Analysis I guess. It encompasses all possible pieces of information and presents to you a price level that reflects everything. Quite powerful, when you really think about it.

So here we are today, taking a look at a reputable conglomerate that has been making money for investors for years together!

Since there are so many constituents in this group, I don't think it qualifies to be a Solar System. I feel it's a whole Universe by itself.

So what do we like in this universe at the moment?

Let's take a look, shall we?