Something we’ve been working on internally this year is using various bottoms-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. One way we’re doing this is by identifying stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small, to mid, to large, and ultimately to mega-cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B) they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.
But the scan doesn’t just end there. We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.
Dividend aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street. These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to longer-term minded shareholders.
As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world. Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.
Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That’s why we’re turning our attention to the future aristocrats. In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we’re curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for 5-9 years.
Introducing the Young Aristocrats. We like to say these are “stocks that pay you to make money”. Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum & relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.
Forget the hedge funds. You want to crush the suits?
Well, they still make sell side analysts wear suits and come into the office.
It's wild, I know.
Sell side analysts have worse herd behavior habits than your average investor. They have their cushy jobs (a few of them still do anyway). They get to tell their friends and family that they work on wall street, because some people still think that's "cool".
But the truth is, it's our job to take advantage of them. It's a lonely and dying business and they're not having any fun. In fact, they're finding it really difficult to run their antiquated valuation models on today's business. It's hilarious to watch them try.
Now, making fun of the situation doesn't get us paid. BUT, taking advantage of their conflicts of interest certainly can, if done correctly.
You see, they have families, kids in private school, expensive mortgages and used to nice vacations. It's a lifestyle. Their wives don't work and it's up to daddy to make sure the big check comes home every month, regardless of the cost.
The universe comprises several solar systems- big and small. Similarly, the market comprises of several conglomerates- big and small. One such conglomerate that we'd like to look at today is the Adani Group.
It is fit to call the Adani Group a solar system since there have been times in the past when these stocks have rallied despite a broader market correction. So where are these stocks headed and what is our view of the constituents of this group going forward?
Let's take a look at the charts.
We created an equally weighted custom index of the Adani Group constituents. It takes one cursory glance at this chart to see that this group has been on a tear since the dip in March 2020. With only minor corrections halting these stocks from time to time, the returns generated by this group have been handsome indeed.
We've enjoyed a ton of success with the bottoms-up scans and the columns they've inspired.
We absolutely love our scans! When we combine them with our traditional top-down approach, they make it almost impossible to miss key market themes.
In fact, we've launched four columns around these scans since last year -- and we have many more that we only run internally.
Today, we're sharing one with you. We call it "Fade The Street,"and it's one of my personal favorites.
The scan leverages data from sell-side analysts including their buy/sell ratings and price targets in order to identify stocks with the potential to become the market's next big winners.
How do we do this? Simple...
We scan for top-performing stocks that happen to be some of the most-hated and out-of-favor names on the street. Basically, we're looking for names that analysts have gotten wrong - or at the very least, are trending against their respective ratings.
I was away from the office last week with the team, but I was still able to pop into BNN Bloomberg for a quick hit.
We discussed the fact that fear among investors is off the charts, stocks are in uptrends and breadth is expanding. I think the beginning of the new Commodities Supercycle is bullish for stocks and just another tailwind to take them higher.
If the tv anchors think I'm making a bold call by suggesting that stocks in uptrends will go higher, then we're probably not near a top.
At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
In last week's report, we played "devil's advocate" and laid out some of the more bearish developments we could find out there.
But all-in-all, the market is still providing bears less room to make a sound argument. We continue to find that any bearish evidence is primarily isolated to shorter timeframes... and even then, still overwhelmed by the abundance of bullish data points.
With the ensuing move in the Auto stocks, we thought of doing a deep dive into this sector to see if we could find some actionable setups.
The Auto sector has closed comfortably above the resistance level of 10,400 effectively absorbing overhead supply at these levels. In the weeks and months ahead, this sector could make a dash towards the level of 12,110. The strong bullish momentum regime indicated by RSI alludes to the same view.
Click on chart to enlarge view.
Relatively speaking, Nifty Auto has broken out of its resistance zone and is ready for the next leg of the rally.
Welcomeback to our “latest Under The Hood” column for the week ending February 5, 2021. As a reminder, this column will be published bi-weekly moving forward, and rotated on-and-off with our new Minor Leaguers column.
In this column, we analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names. There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: A list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers… there is a lot of overlap.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge
Marijuana stocks have been smoking hot over the trailing quarter, with the Alternative Harvest Marijuana ETF $MJ more than doubling since the election on November 3rd.
Considering this new leadership role over the near-term, today we're going to do a follow-up on our last deep dive into the space, which we published last fall.
Back then, we were simply looking for a bottom and mean reversion move higher, which we got... Now, with the industry making new highs, we want to see how things are looking on both an absolute and relative basis.
And as always, we'll check in on some of our past trades in the space and highlight today's strongest stocks, along with trade setups skewed in our favor that we want to use to express our bullish thesis.
Before we get into the weeds, let’s start at the industry level with the Alternative Harvest ETF (MJ).