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BNN Bloomberg Interview – A Technical Take on the Markets

July 25, 2018

This week I was in New York meeting with partners and old friends. On Tuesday I was down at the Bloomberg Headquarters chatting with Catherine Murray about what we're seeing from a technical perspective. We discuss Technology, Medical Equipment stocks and where we are within this secular bull market. Here's the video of the interview:

Fading The Bounce In Public Sector Banks

July 24, 2018

Over the last week or so we've seen an upside reversal in many of the Public Sector Bank stocks across the large, mid, and small-cap segments of the market. This has many wondering whether or not this is "the bottom" in this sector or if it's simply "a bottom" within the context of many structural downtrends. In this post we'll take a look into the sector to see what the weight of evidence suggests might be the answer to this question.

Introducing: "The Dow Fab 5 Indicator"

July 18, 2018

One of the most underrated tools we have as U.S. Stock Market participants is the Dow Jones Industrial Average. I often hear how because it's price weighted, or because it only has 30 stocks, it cannot be relied upon as a gauge of market health. In the past, I've written about how I use it and why these criticisms are irresponsible. I encourage you to read through our Free Educational section to see how we use the Dow Jones Industrial Average and other various tools that we have at our disposal.

One of the things I try and point out is that the S&P500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average move together. Look at a chart of both of them going back 10 years or 100 years and tell me they move in different directions. The S&P500 is market-cap weighted, meaning that the bigger the stock's market cap, the heavier the weighting in the index....

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[Premium] US Market Breadth Update

July 15, 2018

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Market Breadth has been a hot topic as of late, which is why we've talked about it here, here, here, and here over the last month. Last week we discussed market breadth from a global perspective by measuring the trends and momentum readings of stock markets from all around the world, as well as the US sectors and sub-sectors. Today we're going to expand on that by looking at the internals specific to the US stock market. I will warn you in advance that this is a bit of a long post, but I don't want to give the bears a chance to say that we're relying too heavily on one or two charts to support our conclusion.

Knowing Yourself As A Market Participant

July 14, 2018

This past week I came across a potential trade setup in an Indian micro-cap stock that really got me thinking about the question, "Who am I as a market participant?". With all the noise created on a daily basis, it's easy to lose sight of your answer to this simple question, but doing so inhibits your ability to make any decision about markets responsibly.

It's Not Just A Few Names Leading The Way For US Stocks!

July 14, 2018

You have two options as an investor: you could listen to the media or you could listen to the market. They've been pushing the notion lately that only a handful of Tech stocks are leading the way for the market, suggesting a weakening breadth environment. In the real world, however, we are participating in a united rally among Tech stocks as a group.

In fact, the Equally-Weighted Technology Index went out just 0.4% away from another all-time weekly closing high, just shy of it's record high set last month. This is the Equally-Weighted Index, not the Cap-weighted index that the bears are suggesting is pointing to weakening breadth because the big names are such a large portion. If it was true that only a handful of names are going up and market breadth is deteriorating, the Equally-weighted index, which takes the extra-large market capitalization stocks completely out of the equation, would not be behaving this way.

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Nasdaq 100 Stocks Breaking Out

July 13, 2018

The Nasdaq 100 just hit another all-time high, as did the amount of people quoting the percentage of the index's gains that are from its top five components. While that makes for a good headline and soundbite, it's not really all that actionable. What is actionable is the chart below, which we spoke about in early June.

There are 51 stocks down since the Nasdaq 100's initial peak on January 26th, meaning there is opportunity on both sides of the tape if you're so inclined. What it also tells us is that it doesn't pay to get ideological about how large components like Apple, Amazon, and Google have become. It's a cap-weighted index, which means that as long as the leaders keep leading the index is going to move higher. When their performance deteriorates, as will the index's; it works on the way up, and the way down. It's just math.

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