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Hot Corner Insider

The Inside Scoop (07-06-2022)

July 7, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Energy has been the clear leader in 2022. The sector posted a record-setting start to the year, even as the broader market sold off. 

Whether it's our Inside Scoop universe or any other scan, we’ve gotten used to leaning on the strongest stocks in the oil field for long exposure.

As participation narrowed for US stocks throughout the second quarter, we cautioned that energy had become an easy target and was vulnerable to catching lower with the broader market.

About a month ago, that happened as bears finally came for energy. In a matter of weeks, much of this year’s progress came undone, and so did a handful of our stops.

While there has certainly been short-term technical damage, the primary trends are intact. And while these stocks have been hit hard over the trailing month, there's little evidence that they're done being leaders over longer time frames.

Once this corrective action passes, we expect energy stocks to resume higher and offer plenty of bullish opportunities. But in the meantime, they are susceptible to deeper drawdowns and increased selling pressure.

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2 to 100 Club (07-06-2022)

July 7, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to the 2 to 100 Club.

As many of you know, something we've been working on internally is using various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Hot Corner Insider

The Inside Scoop (07-05-2022)

July 5, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Bullish setups are hard to come by these days.

While this makes things more challenging in terms of finding opportunities, it also makes those opportunities stand out that much more.

If you’re showing relative strength in the current market environment, we’re sitting up and paying attention.

One of these rare leaders popped up in our Inside Scoop scan this week. Let’s talk about it.

Will Warren Buffett Buy Occidental Petroleum?

July 5, 2022

Today's most significant insider transaction report is another Form 4 filing by Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.A.

Buffet continues to build his position in Occidental Petroleum $OXY, as he disclosed an additional purchase of roughly $582 million.

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Follow the Flow (07-04-2022)

July 4, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow. In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.

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The Minor Leaguers (07-04-2022)

July 4, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to our latest Minor Leaguers report.

We’ve had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

[PLUS] Weekly Momentum Report & Takeaways

July 4, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Check out this week's Momentum Report, our weekly summation of all the major indexes at a Macro, International, Sector, and Industry Group level.

By analyzing the short-term data in these reports, we get a more tactical view of the current state of markets. This information then helps us put near-term developments into the big picture context and provides insights regarding the structural trends at play.

Let's jump right into it with some of the major takeaways from this week's report:

* ASC Plus Members can access the Momentum Report by clicking the link at the bottom of this post.

Macro Universe:

[PLUS] Weekly Top 10 Report

July 4, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Top 10 Charts Report was just published.

In this weekly note, we highlight 10 of the most important charts or themes we're currently seeing in asset classes around the world.

Equites Suggest Rates Roll

It’s not just commodities and the bond market that are disagreeing with the action from yields these days. We're not getting confirmation from the stock market either. The Equities For Rising Rates ETF (EQRR) always offers excellent information to either support or contradict what we’re seeing from the bond market. When we overlay EQRR with the US 10-Year Yield (TNX), they look almost identical.

What this chart tells us is that the stocks that tend to do well in a rising rate environment could not hold their former highs and are now stuck below overhead supply. This lack of confirmation supports our outlook for a pause and some corrective action from yields in the near future.

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The Hall of Famers (07-01-2022)

July 1, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that which you can check out here.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list: