One of the biggest reasons why I got so bullish towards U.S. Stocks in early July was because of the breakout in Technology out of a multi-year range. This sector represents over 20% of the S&P500, so the way I see it, if the largest sector in...
Every week I go sector by sector and start my analysis from scratch on both weekly and daily timeframes. This provides structural perspective to get a bigger picture outlook and then I work my way down to daily timeframes for execution and risk...
When you talk about the most important sectors in the stock market, financials certainly have to be near the top of the list. Technology is the largest sector in the S&P500 by market capitalization, but bull markets need participation out of...
The way I learned it, "The bigger the base, the higher in space". In other words, the longer prices consolidate in a narrow range, the more powerful the ultimate resolution. I think we have a good example of this type of behavior in the...
U.S. Treasury Bonds have been in a beautiful uptrend for 35 years. This is nothing new. But within uptrends, we often see severe corrections that have presented very favorable risk vs reward opportunities in the past. I think today is one of those...
One of the things that I take most pride in is my ability to keep an open mind and consider every outcome. This goes for all markets, not just stocks. But today I have a solid if/then scenario that I think every U.S. stock market bull should be...
Since late March and early April, most of the major stock market indexes around the world, U.S. included, consolidated in a sideways range. The dilemma/argument among my friends and I was in which direction would these consolidation resolve? As it...
One of the biggest reasons why we've been hesitant to be bullish of stocks, particularly as an asset class, since early April is because of the severe underperformance from bank stocks. Not only do we need participation out of Financials during bull...
If you're one of those people who blindly looks at the S&P500 and thinks stocks are in an uptrend, you can stop reading now and carry on with your rainbows and butterflies. In the real world, the one we live in, stocks have been falling hard for...
When we talk about "the stock market", some people are referring to the S&P500 or maybe the Dow Jones Industrial Average. But these are just 2 large-cap indexes in one country in the entire world. Cliché or not, this isn't a stock market...
Back in January, Energy Stocks put in their lows on both an absolute and relative basis. Whether you're looking at the big Integrated Names like Exxon and Chevron, or the Services Companies like Schlumberger or Halliburton, or even the Explorers and...
One of the most valuable exercises throughout my process is going through every single country around the world looking at both weekly and daily charts. One by one I make my annotations and take my notes. This is certainly time consuming, but the...
When we talk about the most important developments in the world today, we need to define who we are and why this is the case for us. We are market participants who have only one goal: to make money in the market. There are many others out there who...
The debate about whether Amazon is in the Technology Sector or the Consumer Discretionary sector is really a pointless one. It isn't anyone's opinion that Amazon is in the Consumer Discretionary Sector. Amazon IS in the Consumer...
Contrary to popular belief, we're not here to be right. We're only here to make money. As market participants, we're not journalists or economists or side analysts. It's their job to be "right". So when they're wrong, they like to call it a "revision...
When the major U.S. Stock market indexes are making new highs, you want to see the list of stocks making new highs increasing along the way as well. This had certainly been the case throughout February and March, but has come to a complete halt this...
I think a really important concept that too often gets overlooked is the power of keeping an open mind. Why must we stick to a bearish or bullish stance? What is wrong with neutral sometimes? Just because our upside get hit, does that mean we need to...
We've had a heck of a rally in stocks over since late January, led by emerging markets, energy and metal stocks. Starting in mid-February the U.S. and other developed nations got the memo and started to play catch-up. We couldn't be happier with the...
We've just witnessed one of the most epic rallies in the stock market that we've seen in a long time. Remember, this has been dominated by global indexes, particularly Emerging Markets, not U.S. Stocks. We could not be happier to see this rally...
There are a lot of interesting things going on in the Crude Oil market these days from both a long-term and a short-term perspective. Premium Members of Allstarcharts have wanted to be long Crude Oil since...
With all of the bad news and negative sentiment surrounding the high yield bond market, I think this is a place where we want to be buyers, and no longer sellers. High yield bonds are just a fancy way to refer to "Junk bonds". At the end of the day,...
This weekend I did my regular global macro review. This is when I go country by country analyzing the weekly and daily charts of all of the stock markets around the world. Each chart includes a momentum study ...
In every market there are leaders and there are laggards. This is the case in both bull and bear markets. Regardless of the environment, some stocks and sectors will simply outperform others. Sometimes, this relative performance tells us a lot about...