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Trade Ideas

Here is a list of trade ideas organized by date, ticker symbol and directional bias. Please make sure you have clicked on the link and read the details surrounding the trade before acting upon any of them. Also, make sure you have checked with your financial advisor and tax accountants to make sure you are suitable to be executing what is discussed on this website. The risk management procedures and targets are detailed for each idea. Please read and review the terms and conditions page before making any trades of your own.

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2023 Trade Ideas

Here is a list of trade ideas organized by date, ticker symbol and directional bias. Please make sure you have clicked on the link and read the details surrounding the trade before acting upon any of them. Also, make sure you have checked with your financial advisor and tax accountants to make sure you are suitable to be executing what is discussed on this website. The risk management procedures and targets are detailed for each idea. Please read and review the terms and conditions page before making any trades of your own.

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Silver Miners Break Out

December 26, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The buzz around gold’s new all-time high is growing – and for good reason.

New all-time highs will likely become a regular occurrence in the coming quarters. 

But while gold makes headlines, my attention is on silver mining stocks…

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Silver Miners Break Out

December 26, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The buzz around gold’s new all-time high is growing – and for good reason.

New all-time highs will likely become a regular occurrence in the coming quarters. 

But while gold makes headlines, my attention is on silver mining stocks…

Check out the Silver Miners ETF $SIL carving out a potential double bottom:

 

SIL is printing fresh six-month highs as it trades back above its June peak.

I consider it a breakout.

Completing this near-term base will likely catapult these stocks through the polarity zone and the double bottom breakout level. 

I like SIL long – only if it’s above 28 – targeting 40 in the coming quarters.

Perhaps the upside objective sounds a bit overzealous.

But when we zoom out, it’s clear that SIL has serious ground to cover before reaching those former 2020 highs:

 

In fact, the 55 level marks a logical target for a longer-term position. 

Consider it our secondary target. If gold is bouncing to a steady beat of new all-time highs, SIL is running back to that decade-long resistance zone.

It’s the perfect environment for...

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What's All This Palladium Stuff?

December 18, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

I’ve had palladium on my mind for a while – long before gold posted a new all-time high.

Why palladium?

It all started with an extreme Commitment of Traders (COT) profile…

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What’s All This Palladium Stuff?

December 18, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

I’ve had palladium on my mind for a while – long before gold posted a new all-time high.

Why palladium?

It all started with an extreme Commitment of Traders (COT) profile…

Check out the longer-term chart of palladium futures with the COT in the lower pane:

 

Commercial hedgers posted a new record-long position back in April.

Notice the sustained trends following similar commercial positions in 2012, 2016, and 2018. 

Commercials represent the strongest hands with the deepest pockets. Plus, they have inside knowledge of the supply and demand dynamics of the market in question. It’s OK to think of them as “smart money.” 

But record-long positioning isn’t a signal on its own. It doesn’t help us define our risk. It simply indicates the market structure.

Case in point: Record-breaking long positioning became the norm for commercials as price continued to fall throughout the year.

Holding a long position since the spring required deep pockets and proved a painful opportunity cost.

But the pain of owning palladium is likely behind us as long as the futures...

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How To Play Gold’s False Start

December 13, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Last week’s fresh all-time highs left many gold bugs empty-hearted. 

The market continues to torment precious metal bulls as they wonder what could have been.

But hopes and dreams aren’t a viable strategy.

The only “what if” that concerns me is whether the yellow metal flashed a failed breakout.

Or are we simply dealing with a a premature move?

Let’s dig in…

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How To Play Gold’s False Start

December 13, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Last week’s fresh all-time highs left many gold bugs empty-hearted. 

The market continues to torment precious metal bulls as they wonder what could have been.

But hopes and dreams aren’t a viable strategy.

The only “what if” that concerns me is whether the yellow metal flashed a failed breakout.

Or are we simply dealing with a a premature move?

Let’s dig in…

Check out the weekly chart of gold futures, highlighting the breakout in question:

 

Bulls sliced through overhead supply, vaulting gold to new heights. But the bearish momentum divergence in the lower pane reveals a lack of fervor for the shiny yellow rock.

Divergences between momentum and price don’t guarantee a major reversal.

Gold can still break out as momentum divergences have a way of righting themselves. That’s why I prefer to focus on momentum regimes. They’re just more reliable.

From a structural perspective, the real nail in the coffin for gold lies just below the right shoulder trough at approximately 1,820. A decisive close below that level completes a failed inverted head-and-...

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Charting Silver’s Golden Journey

December 4, 2023

From the Desk of Louis Sykes @haumicharts

We’ve been all over this one.

Two weeks ago, we couldn’t help but discuss the impressive move out of the silver/gold ratio, pointing to risk appetite in the precious metals space.

Now, gold’s crazy little cousin is pressing up against new 52-week highs.

Just check out the chart of BlackRock’s Silver ETF $SLV rallying into this key inflection point near 23:

 

Not only does this level coincide with the 52-week highs proceeding a seven-month consolidation, it also represents the 62% Fibonacci retracement of this three-year range.

Make no bones about it, this is a critical level we’re watching in silver right now.

Should we see buyers continue to push the metal higher above this level, it would confirm a breakout.

Above 23.10, we like SLV long with a target at the former highs of 27.40.

But it doesn’t just stop there; let’s plan ahead into the future.

With gold again flirting with all-time highs, we’re on the cusp of a new bull market in precious metals.

In a world where silver goes on to hit our initial target of 27.40, we’ll like the setup even more than we do...

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Don’t Leggo This EGO

November 27, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Mining stocks are breaking out.

All four names we outlined in last week's Gold Rush Video have triggered buy signals.

The tide appears to swing in favor of the gold bugs.

And, based on Monday’s bullish price action, perhaps it’s just the beginning.

Check out the next gold miner most likely to break loose…

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Don’t Leggo This EGO

November 27, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Mining stocks are breaking out.

All four names we outlined in last week’s Gold Rush Video have triggered buy signals.

The tide appears to swing in favor of the gold bugs.

And, based on Monday’s bullish price action, perhaps it’s just the beginning.

Check out the next gold miner most likely to break loose…

Eldorado Gold $EGO is carving out a classic inverted head-and-shoulders pattern:

 

Risk is well-defined at the neckline, highlighted by a series of former highs.

This former resistance level reveals a significant supply zone that’s capped higher prices and subdued overzealous gold bugs since early 2021.

But that all changes on a break to new multi-year highs.

I’m long EGO on a daily close above 12.25, with an initial target of 16.50 and a secondary objective just beyond the next extension level at approximately 25.

I adjusted my longer-term aim based on the critical polarity zone coinciding with the 2016 peak:

 

The difference between the two levels is negligible. And I want to give precious metal mining stocks plenty of room to run.

Gold...