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Six Insiders Report PGY Purchases

April 10, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider move on today’s list comes via multiple Form 4 filings from insiders of Pagaya Technologies Ltd $PGY. 

The chief executive officer, the chief people officer, the chief technology officer, the president, and one director all bought $PGY shares, their combined purchases totaling $2,012,401.

All Star Charts Crypto

We're Buying the Dip in Helium

April 9, 2024

You hear that?

Chop, chop, chop...

It's the sound of traders getting chopped up. Crypto markets are consolidating. What's wrong with that?

After the moves we've seen down the cap-scale, some period of sideways price action is perfectly healthy! But while these markets digest their gains, I think it's best to leave trading to a minimum for now.

Today we'll be revisiting a number of our previous trade ideas and outlining a mean reversion setup in Helium.

Position Sizing Ideas for Naked Short Options

April 9, 2024

When putting on positions with undefined risk (naked short puts, or short strangles, for example), one question I often get asked is: “How do you determine your position size?”

This is perhaps the most important question to ask when putting on these types of trades!

I have two imprecise, imperfect ways that I decide:

Buffett, Berkshire Report $97 Million in LSXMA Buys

April 9, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes via Form 4 filings by Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway.

Buffett and Berkshire reported purchases in The Liberty SiriusXM Group $LSXMA for a total amount of $97 million.

Trend Following: Energy Edition

April 9, 2024

Earlier today we discussed the NYSE Oil Index breaking out to new all-time highs.

I really like this Index because, since it's NYSE-based, it includes energy stocks from all over the world.

As long as it trades on the NYSE, who cares if it's TOTAL in France, or Petrabras in Brazil?

These are the most important Oil stocks in the world and the index is hitting new all-time highs.

Here are all the stocks in the index relative to a variety of moving averages (getting longer-term moving from left to right on this chart below):

Fake Internet Money & Real Money

April 9, 2024

Think of Gold as the stable asset. And then stocks and other forex markets are just trading up and down relative to the price of Gold.

This week we discussed the fact that currencies all over the world have been losing their value, particularly relative to the price of Gold.

But this month now even the US Dollar has broken down relative to Gold.

You can get all those details here.

So if we're going to take the value of stocks and other fiat, and price it in Gold, then we should treat Crypto the same way.

Here are Bitcoin and Ethereum priced in "Real Money":

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The Minor Leaguers (04-08-2024)

April 9, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list now, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

All Star Charts Gold Rush

Speculators Pounce on Gold Miners

April 8, 2024

New all-time highs have a funny way of shifting perspectives.

Not too long ago, many considered gold a “dumpster fire,” a “hot mess,” or an “opportunity cost.”

All were fair assessments. 

Everything changed last month when gold rocketed to its highest recorded level.

Yet, for some reason, investors weren’t buying into its strength.

But a 12% gain over the past five weeks has quickly turned reluctant investors into ravenous speculators.

All Star Charts Premium, All Star Charts Gold Rush

Speculators Pounce on Gold Miners 

April 8, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

New all-time highs have a funny way of shifting perspectives.

Not too long ago, many considered gold a “dumpster fire,” a “hot mess,” or an “opportunity cost.”

All were fair assessments. 

Everything changed last month when gold rocketed to its highest recorded level.

Yet, for some reason, investors weren’t buying into its strength.

But a 12% gain over the past five weeks has quickly turned reluctant investors into ravenous speculators.

[Options] Earnings Catalyst Sets Up a Good Add-On Opportunity

April 8, 2024

In today's Flow Show, me and Steve Strazza came out swinging with an opportunity to add to an already winning options trade.

Back in late January, we entered into a bullish longer-term bet in Wells Fargo $WFC. You can read about it here. That original position still has until January 2025 to play out (another nine months).

But take a look at this high & tight flag forming on the eve on their next earning release scheduled for this Friday morning: