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Swing Trader Pro: Afternoon Briefing (11-11-2022)

November 11, 2022

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

Well over a month ago, J.C. and I talked in the live trading room about a "W" pattern forming in $SPY.

This pattern is still intact. The measured move I have on SPY, should this pattern hold, is roughly at the 407 to 410 level.

I only made one trade today, but I called out multiple setups in the room.

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Dust Your Rocks Off

November 11, 2022

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The bulls are dropping the US dollar like it's hot – and risk assets worldwide love it! 

Few areas are enjoying the newfound dollar weakness quite like the metals space. It’s not just precious or base metals catching higher. It’s both.

So if you shelved those shiny rocks months ago, it’s time to pull them out and take a look.

Copper futures are up first:

Dr. Copper went out with a bang last week, posting its largest single-day return since 2009. We call these types of strong directional moves momentum thrusts

They often indicate either the exhaustion of an ongoing trend or the initiation of a new trend. Our money is on the latter when it comes to copper.

Yesterday it took out its summer pivot highs. Those former highs are a great level to define our risk.

I like copper futures long if and only if...

[PLUS] Weekly Observations & One Chart for the Weekend

November 11, 2022

From the Desk of Willie Delwiche.

Time for A New Driver

Priced in their own currencies, more than half of the countries in the world are trading above their 200-day averages. The US is not among them. 

Why It Matters: The US has been in an uptrend versus the rest of the world for 235 weeks in a row, the longest continuous stretch of US leadership in the past 50 years. More broadly, the past decade has taught US investors that global diversification means lower returns and higher risk. But that trend is long in the tooth. If the dollar continues to fade, the opportunity for new leadership will become more apparent. Emerging Market central banks led the way into the tightening cycle and they could lead the way out of it. Remove currency factors and improving global rally participation can more readily be seen. And right now the US is not in the driver’s seat.

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International Hall of Famers (11-11-2022)

November 11, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We’ve also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It’s got all the big names and more--but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let’s dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here’s this week’s list:

...

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Value Stocks Follow Rates Higher

November 10, 2022

From the Desk of Ian Culley @Ianculley

It’s been a lonely rise for interest rates.

The stocks and commodities that tend to accompany rising yields haven’t kept pace since early spring. Rates across the curve have accelerated higher, leaving these risk assets in the dust. 

But the seasons have changed – and the dust has settled. 

Cyclical value sectors have found their footing in recent months. Now, they’re playing catch-up.

One of the strongest market themes in recent weeks has been the reemergence of value over growth.

Check out the overlay chart of the 10-year US Treasury yield $TNX and small-cap value $IWN versus small-cap growth $IWO:

The 63-day correlation study in the lower pane highlights the strong relationship between these two charts. 

At a glance, they appear quite similar. But their positive correlation began to erode in late March, reaching negative territory by...