In this weekly note, we highlight 10 of the most important charts or themes we're currently seeing in asset classes around the world.
Discretionary Takes a Dive
The Large Cap Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) broke below its pre-Covid highs of around $132 last week. The recent price action in XLY is an excellent illustration of how the weakest stocks are performing. We're witnessing a growing list of bearish continuation patterns resolve lower in growth indices as renewed selling pressure grips the market.
From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts
This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.
In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.
We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.
Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.
We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.
What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.
And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think...
You go on the twitter and all you see are people complaining about what a bad year this is for stocks, how bad the stock market is, recessions, bear markets, the Fed, blah blah blah.
I don't understand. What's everyone so angry about?
Stocks continue to do well. In fact, the back half of this year has been one of the better ones that we've ever seen.
Look how well most sectors have done since the market bottomed in June:
Tuesday night we held our December Monthly Conference Call, which Premium Members can access and rewatch here.
In this post, we’ll do our best to summarize it by highlighting five of the most important charts and/or themes we covered, along with commentary on each