Our commodities analyst Ian Culley couldn't have said this any better:

Energy stocks refuse to lose.

We can’t deny the relative strength of the energy space, whether we’re talking about stocks or commodities. But it’s been equities over the raw materials for months now.

They just continue to grind.

Today's trade takes us to Midland, Texas, home of the Permian Basin -- one of the richest deposits of oil and gas in the world.

We've adjusted a position in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

Mean reversion is a universal element of the world we live in.

Reversion to the mean is a statistical phenomenon stating that the greater the deviation of a variable from its mean, the greater the probability that the next measured variation will deviate less.

In other words, an extreme event is likely to be followed by a less extreme event.

In financial markets, mean reversion is everywhere. This is especially the case in bear markets when prices dramatically rally following prolonged periods of sustained weakness.

As John Roque, one of the GOATs of technical analysis, would say, "We’re not in a reversion to the mean business. This is instead a reversion beyond the mean business."

Specifically, asset prices retracing to their statistical average isn't the rule, it's the exception. Rather, in most cases, asset prices will often overshoot their "averages."

With crypto markets bouncing over the last week, it raises the question, is this just yet another mean reversion rally, or does this move have some legs?

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

Happy Halloween!

They pinned the close on Friday on the $SPX at 3,900. The "W" pattern I spoke about a month back seems to be in play. We have resistance now at 3,945.

The largest insider buy on today's list is a Form 4 filing by CD&R Boulder Holdings LP.

The firm disclosed the purchase of approximately $6 million worth of shares in Beacon Roofing Supply $BECN.

For so long it had been Bigs over Smalls.

People would even complain that it was only 5 stocks driving market returns.

Do you remember how hilarious that was?

Good, because it's so much funnier now.

Get this, those same people complaining that only 5 stocks were driving the market higher are now complaining that those 5 stocks aren't participating.

Market returns are currently being driven by all the other stocks. Those 5 big massive ones are doing their very best to hold the market down, but it's not working.

Investors are buying stocks, whether you like it or not. And they're buying the smaller ones at a much faster rate than their larger-cap counterparts.

Look at the Small-cap Russell2000 hitting new Year-to-Date highs vs the Large-cap S&P500.

And of course Small-caps are also hitting new 16-month...

There are 30 stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

This is the most important stock market index, both currently and of all-time.

In case you missed my explanation, you can catch up here.

Of the 30 stocks, 5 of them are already at New All-time Highs (2 more that are no longer in the Dow also closed at New All-time Highs).

And several more Dow Components are just a few percentage points away.

New all-time highs are NOT a characteristic of downtrends.

An expansion in new highs is NOT weak breadth.

Here's a Dow component that has been basing for a while. ...

These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Monday November 7th @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Monday evening:

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

Thanks for all the great comments and emails.

I'm glad to hear how well you guys are doing in this environment.

But keep in mind that not everyone looks at the market the way you and I do.

Some people out there think the Dow Jones Industrial Average is beneath them.

Some people like to pretend to be smart and wait for computers to tell them if stocks are going up, instead of just counting.

Price weighted indexes don't seem to be good enough for some of their ...

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Energy stocks refuse to lose.

We can’t deny the relative strength of the energy space, whether we’re talking about stocks or commodities. But it’s been equities over the raw materials for months now.

It doesn’t look like that will change any time soon. However, I doubt energy contracts will be left behind.

Let’s run down the most actively traded contracts for crude, gasoline, and heating oil. First, crude oil:

The December contract has chopped around a key level of former support at 85. Despite the sloppy nature of the chart, I don’t hate a long position here. But that's only if it’s above 85.

Keep in mind crude oil has been messy, so you’ll want to give it room to breathe. Plus, potential resistance comes in at the July and August pivot highs around 96. 

I’d much rather trade gasoline or heating oil for two reasons...