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Chart of the Day: New All-time Lows

July 13, 2022

You can't overstate what a bully the Dollar has been towards stocks in the U.S. and around the world.

We've talked about new 20 year lows for Japanese Yen, and the recent parity with the Euro, of course.

But now take a look the Emerging Markets Currencies ETF breaking down to new all-time lows:

Not an inflation hedge. Not a safe haven.

July 12, 2022

The S&P 500 just had its worst first half in more than 50 years.

Based on CPI, if you’re in cash, you’re losing 8.5% a year.

This was the worst start to the Bond Market since 1842.

So what do you think gold is doing in that environment?

Down near new 52-week lows...

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Walk Away

July 12, 2022

Sometimes it's just best to ignore breakouts.

It's all about knowing what environment we're in and adjusting our tools and strategies accordingly. In environments like these, buying into breakouts is a dangerous game.

Seriously, take a look at the failed breakouts all over the place.

Pull up a watchlist of cryptos and you'll see a ton of whipsaws.

 

Chart of the Day: Bear Markets

July 12, 2022

In bear markets, you're going to find more stocks making new lows than new highs.

That's just basic math.

In bull markets, you'll see the opposite.

Here's what today looks like: 33 consecutive weeks of more stocks hitting new lows than new highs.

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Under the Hood (07-11-2022)

July 11, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to our latest Under the Hood report, where we'll cover all the action for the week ended July 8, 2022. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated our Minor Leaguers report.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Watch this video for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual...

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Follow the Flow (07-11-2022)

July 11, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.

In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.

What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.

And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the stock is about to move in...