All eyes on Technology today, with $NVDA reporting earnings later this afternoon.
But I'd like to add some different perspective than what you might here on twitter or perhaps on these basic cable networks that no one watches anymore.
There's a reason people keep coming to us for answers.
First of all, let's keep in mind where Technology even is relative to where it's been.
This underperformance we've seen from Large-cap Tech started as soon as it hit the March 2000 highs relative to the S&P500.
It took Technology over 24 years just to get back to where it was at the peak of the dot com bubble.
And that's where we sit today (they won't show you this chart on basic cable):
Gold has not only been shining in absolute terms but is also dramatically outperforming the broader commodity complex.
While energy chops around in a multi-year range and cattle carve out a distribution pattern, the glittering ore refuses to quit printing new all-time highs.
We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.
For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.
That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.
We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.
Nowadays, to make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.
In bull markets, that actually happens quite often.
We just saw new all-time highs in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P500 (market-cap weighted), S&P500 (equally-weighted), NYSE Composite Index, NYSE Advance-Decline and so much more. Check that out here.
But it's not just a U.S. thing. Look at all the other countries around the world.
This table below shows all the ACWI markets and where their prices are relative to various moving averages - ranging from short-term (10-day) up to long-term (200-day).
Notice how all the developed markets are above all of their moving averages, no matter how short-term or long-term they are:
Nvidia, the largest of all of them by far, reports their earnings this Wednesday 8/28.
We're hosting a LIVE stream starting at 3:45PM ET Wednesday as we monitor the market's reaction to what is probably the most important earnings report of the quarter.
In fact, we think this earnings release is so important, that we put together a FREE Nvidia Earnings Preview to get you prepared for Wednesday's big event.
Again, to be clear, we're not so much interested in the numbers themselves (i.e. Revenues, EPS, etc), but it's actually how the market reacts to those earnings that we're most focused on.
Imagine waking up every day trying to make up reasons for why it's bearish when the Equally-weighted S&P500 is making new all-time highs?
There are people out there who are purposely going out of their way to blatantly lie to people about how historically bearish it is when market breadth is expanding, and more and more stocks are making new highs.
It's like a weird fetish or something. These people need help.
Here's what they're so angry about and why they think the market is about to fall apart: