The market has been moving sideways for two months now. But that does not mean that every sector will reflect the same move.
As the story of a market cycle unfolds, various sectors assume importance just like different characters in a play. Currently, the Chemicals segment is in the spotlight so let's see what its constituents are up to!
The Chemicals segment has been showing strength over the past few days with some interesting setups lined up. We included one such setup in our Trade of the Weekpost.
First up, we have Pidilite Industries which is now moving back into positive territory as it inches towards its overhead resistance at 1,800. The price has consolidated in the range of 1700-1820 and looks ready for a breakout as the indicator attempts to move higher. With the overall sector in focus, Pidilite could be dolling up to participate in the next leg of the rally.
We are bullish above the risk management level of 1,820 with a target near 2,030.
In our continued effort to identify individual equities that fit within our larger Macro thesis, we recently rolled out our latest bottoms-up scan: "The Minor Leaguers."
We write a post every other week where we outline some of our favorite setups from this universe of stocks.
We've already had some great trades come out of this column and couldn't be happier about the early feedback.
Moving forward, we'll be rotating this column with "Under The Hood" each week.
In order to make it onto our Minor League list, you must have a market cap between $1 and $2B. There are also price and liquidity filters.
Then, we simply sort the stocks by their percentage from new highs. Easy done.
The idea is to catch the strongest names while they're still small and have serious upside potential. If any of these stocks ever climb up the ranks...
Key Takeaway: Even with bottlenecks & distortions, economic recovery & cyclical rally remain intact. Tactical risks have risen as the market digests gains of last year. Watch bond yields & global participation for evidence that the rally is ready to resume.
Cyclical value sectors remain the leaders in our relative strength rankings and small-cap groups continue to dominate the upper-tier of our industry group rankings. But there is evidence beneath the surface of shifting trends. Rather than seeing a reversion back to growth leadership in our sector rankings, we are seeing defensive areas of the market start to heat up. Consumer Staples, Utilities & Real Estate have the best relative strength on a short-term basis. At the industry group level, small-cap groups are deteriorating while large-cap groups are improving.
The latest 2-to-100 Club Report is out with a handful of actionable names to participate in.
These aren't trades where we expect a face-ripping rally to imminently commence. But we do think there are underlying trends that can propel these names higher over the next 3-6 months.
With that in mind, I've got a trade in November options on deck to play one of my favorites from this report.
This week we're looking at a long setup in the Chemical sector. Certain stocks from this sector are grabbing our attention and we're looking at one of those!
We retired our "Five Bull Market Barometers" in mid-July to make room for a new weekly post that's focused on the three most important charts for the week ahead.
This is that post, so let's jump into this week's edition.
Don't miss this weeks Momentum Report; our weekly summation of all the major indexes at a Macro, International, Sector and Industry Group level. As a reminder, we analyze this shorter-term data within the context of the structural trends at play.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley
Similar to last week, many areas of the Commodity space continue to chop sideways below overhead supply.
Healthy digestion of recent gains makes total sense given the explosive moves since last summer and in many cases is much needed.
Given that sideways price action is the main theme across Commodities at the moment, one particular consolidation stood out this past week.
And that consolidation is in the Corn market.
Corn futures have ripped off of their March-2020 lows, taking out key multi-year highs along the way.
Earlier this year it broke above a key Fibonacci level and its 2014 highs, and is now taking a breather in the form of a potential 8-week Flag or Pennant formation. These types of consolidations often resolve in the direction of the underlying...