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The Minor Leaguers (01-15-2021)

January 18, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

In a further effort to identify individual equities that fit within our larger more Macro thesis, we couldn't be happier to roll out and share our latest bottoms-up scan: "The Minor Leaguers."

We'll also be writing a post every other week where we outline some of our favorite setups from the watchlist. This is the first edition.

Moving forward, we'll be rotating this column with "Under The Hood" each week.

In order to make it onto our Minor League list, you must have a market cap between $1 and $2B. There are also price and liquidity filters.

Then, we simply sort the stocks by their percentage from new highs. Easy.

And what better time than now to launch a small-cap focused column!? We've seen very strong evidence of a structural rotation down the market cap scale, suggesting a new period of outperformance from small-caps in recent months/quarters.

This should be a great way to take advantage of that trend. Let's dive right in!

Here...

What Concerns Me?

January 15, 2021

This one comes up a lot. "JC, what has you concerned?".

This morning I was on the Alpha Trader Podcast with Aaron Task, former Digital Editor of Fortune and Editor-in-Chief of Yahoo! Finance. It was fun. I'll post the link when it's up next week.

But that's what he asked. What has me concerned?

And what's interesting is that nothing really "concerns" me. Because I don't really care. I'm too old for that shit. I can't worry about the economic and social implications of the market going up or down.

Stocks can get cut in half from here. Or they could double. I'm good either way. Bitcoin can go to zero. Not my problem. Gold can go to $100,000, or $100. Doesn't matter to me.

So I'm not "concerned" about anything. I just take it how it comes, when it comes. As investors, we have no choice. Well, as open-minded investors, anyway....

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2 to 100 Club: Special Edition

January 15, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Consider this a special follow-up edition to our most recent 2-to-100 column, published earlier this week.

We update our 2-to-100 club universe every quarter as stocks will come on and off of the list as their market cap fluctuates above and below our criteria of about 2 to 30B.

There are also newly public stocks that need to be added and changes based on our technical criteria, among other things.

A lot of stocks grew above the $30B mark this year and unfortunately left the 2-to-100 club. On the other hand, there weren't too many that left due to falling below $2B.

This makes sense as all the stocks in the club are from tech/growth industries, many of which performed incredibly well in 2020.

There was also a good deal of new additions from IPOs which is also no surprise as most of the new issuances these days are tech companies.

The last thing I noticed - which is what this post...

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Stocks Are Historically Expensive. So What?

January 14, 2021

In case you missed it this week, our team just got a whole lot better. Willie Delwiche is officially part of the Allstarcharts Team. We couldn't be more excited to have someone with his experience adding to the conversations we're already having every day.

To no surprise to any of us, Willie is already hitting the ground running with some excellent perspective on current market sentiment, valuations and breadth.

Here's what he had to say today,

Stocks are historically expensive, but this is offset by ample liquidity being provided via monetary policy (and to a lesser extent the hope of additional fiscal stimulus). Investor sentiment is heavily tilted toward optimism and complacency. This becomes a more acute concern when market momentum is faltering and/or rally participation is narrowing. That is not currently the case, as an increasing number of markets have broken out of bear markets that stretch back to 2018 or earlier"

...

The Stealth Correction

January 13, 2021

As we get into 2021, the same question keeps coming, "JC, when are we going to see a correction in the market?"

While it is true that some stocks have gone up, and others have gone up a lot in recent months, the biggest stocks of them all have not.

Google, Apple, Microsoft and Amazon are the 4 biggest companies in the world. Throw in fellow behemoths Facebook and Alibaba, and now we're pushing $8 Trillion in market cap. That's big time money.

And you know what those stocks have done since September 2nd?

Nothing.