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Young Aristocrats (November 2022)

November 18, 2022

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Dividend Aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street.

These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to long-term-minded shareholders.

As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world. Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.

Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That's why we're turning our attention to the future aristocrats.

In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we're curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for five to nine years.

We call them the Young Aristocrats, and the idea is that these are "stocks that pay you to make money."

Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum and relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.

By adding our...

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The Hall of Famers (11-18-2022)

November 18, 2022

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month. 

Then...

Relative Strength in Growth Stocks

November 18, 2022

Note: Our Live Mid-month Conference call is this coming Monday Nov 21st @ 6PM ET. Premium Members can register here.

For quite some time we've treated Bitcoin and many Altcoins as just more stocks to choose from.

More specifically, we can argue they might be software stocks, or Tech stock of some kind.

At the very least, we've agreed that they're in the growth category and part of that long-duration trade.

And the correlations have been there to justify it.

So the divergence we've seen lately really stands out.

Regardless of market capitalization, you can see the growth stocks holding on to their June lows, but Bitcoin and many Altcoins have not.

...
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Will Rates Track the Dollar?

November 17, 2022

From the Desk of Ian Culley @Ianculley

Don’t take your eyes off the US dollar and interest rates!

I know it’s been a long year, but we’re finally witnessing early signs of potential trend reversals. The breakdown in the dollar last week confirmed the mounting evidence suggesting the USD has reached its peak.

Now, will interest rates follow?

Check out the dual pane chart of the US dollar index $DXY and the 30-year yield $TYX:

They look almost identical. The recent breakdown in the dollar marks the lone flaw between the two, raising the question…

Will the strong relationship between rates and the dollar hold?

I won’t pretend to know where rates are headed. But if the dollar and rates remain on similar paths, my money is on declining yields at the longer end of the curve.

A falling 30-year yield also makes sense based on a...

Chart of the Decade: "THE Catalyst"

November 17, 2022

If you're still asking what it will take to spark a sustained rally in equities, it's only because you're not paying attention.

How is it not the US Dollar?

Find me a stronger negative correlation with equities over the past half decade or so.

Todays chart focuses more specifically on the performance of US Dollars relative to Emerging Market Currencies.

Notice how whenever the Dollar goes down, stocks absolutely love it:

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The Short Report (11-16-2022)

November 16, 2022

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

We...

[Options] McDonald's May Be a Healthy Addition to Our Portfolio

November 16, 2022

So we were talking about a guy who's apparently subsisting only on McDonald's patties for the next 30 days. Just the patty --- no bun, no condiments, no lettuce. He's trying to prove some kind of point that it's not McDonald's burgers that are unhealthy, it's everything else in a typical American's McDonald's order at the drive-thru window.

Ok. Whatever.

But all this "healthy McDonald's" talk got us thinking about the even healthier looking chart of its stock $MCD in recent weeks:

Don't Lose Your Crypto

November 16, 2022

From the Desk of Louis Sykes

The collapse of the FTX exchange has been a significant catalyst for market participants to utilize one of Bitcoin's greatest value propositions -- self-custody.

Self-custody is when only you have possession of your digital funds because you control the private key. There's no question; there's no alternative to holding your crypto other than in private cold storage.

Owning your Bitcoin keys voids the necessity for a financial intermediary, completely removing any and all counterparty risk. This is especially important given that crypto exchanges hold a shaky history of being responsible stewards of clients' funds.

When you hold your crypto in hot wallets managed by intermediaries like exchanges, they have all the control. They can freeze your transactions, block withdrawals, set limits on the amount you can transact -- and, in the case of FTX, use your funds for their private self-interest.

We're seeing a massive migration where market participants are waking to the value of self-custody.