From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley

The path of least resistance is higher for yields, as the market continues to punish investors for buying bonds. 

As long as that’s the case, we want to look for...

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley  

The Federal Reserve is doing its best to prepare the market for what is expected to be a year of rate hikes. But investors aren’t exactly enthusiastic about this...

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley

There have been some fireworks to kick off the new year. One of the biggest developments in 2022 has to be the US 10-year yield breaking to its highest level in two...

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley

Downside pressure on long-duration rates and a flattening yield curve was the story of the bond market for the latter part of 2021. 

But we started to see signs...

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

With the exception of US large-caps, the market remains range-bound for most risk assets. At the same time, most defensive assets are failing to catch any meaningful bid...

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley

Our focus has been on US Treasury yields in recent months – and for good reason. 

The 30-year yield recently undercut its summer lows, and the 10-year yield...

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley

It was only a month ago that we discussed the TIPS versus Treasuries ratio hitting its highest level since 2013 as investors prepared for rising inflation.

Fast-...

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley

The recent risk-off action came to a head last week, with commodities, stocks, and interest rates all violating key support levels. 

We saw a brief flight to...

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley

Treasury yield spreads are contracting.

Inflation has been the talk of the town in recent weeks. But, now that the Federal Reserve has finally joined the chorus,...

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley

You already know how we feel about the US Bond Market. 

We like the short side when it comes to...

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley

TIPS versus Treasuries is one of the most important charts...

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley

Last week, we touched on the weakness that’s been developing further out on the...

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley

We’ve been pounding the table about rising rates for over a month now.

It’s hard...

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley  

Long-term interest rates have taken a hit this week, while the short end of the curve has continued higher. When we zoom out a bit, yields have been rising across the...

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

It’s no secret. 

As investors, we've been rewarded for buying stocks and commodities over bonds for more than a year now. And this will most likely remain the case...

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

We’re beginning to see signs that risk-on behavior is re-entering the market.

...

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

Back in August, we presented two opposing views of the relationship between stocks and bonds.

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

We’re finally starting to see resolutions in the bond market.

The 30-year yield is back above 2.00%, the 10-year has reclaimed 1.40%, and the 5-year yield has...