From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

If the US Dollar is falling, International Equities trading via US listed ETFs should outperform US Stocks. When the US Dollar is rising, International Equities should underperform US Stocks.

Sounds like a logical relationship, but as usual, it's not that simple.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

During last week's Conference Call we discussed a lot of the potential catalysts for a lower US Dollar, so I wrote a free post talking about whether a weaker US Dollar means US stocks have to underperform International stocks. If you haven't read that, please do that first, because in this post I'm going to quickly touch on a short-term theme that continues to build within our Global ETF Ratio universe.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

In this post we're gonna check in on Canadian Equities and see what sectors and names we want to be involved in.

Chart Summit was a "Ski during the day and Chart at night" event held on February 22-23, 2019 in Breckenridge, CO. I co-hosted it with Brian Shannon and this is the video of my presentation:

The Top/Down Approach to Financial Markets using Technical Analysis

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

The US Dollar Index is approaching its Q4 highs once again, however, the real story lies underneath the surface in three unrepresented currency pairs that are offering a solid reward/risk opportunity at current levels.

With every month comes a new set of monthly charts, so I want to use this post to step back and point out the major changes since the last time we looked at them in November.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Short-term strength in Precious Metals continues, so I want to do an in-depth analysis of the space like I did last August to see if we're now entering "The Golden Age of Precious Metals".

One chart that I think sums up how I feel about Precious Metals is an equally-weighted index of Gold, Silver, Platinum, and Palladium. While no longer in a long-term downtrend, it's not in an uptrend either. All that can be said is that it's testing the top of a multi-year range. Not all that exciting.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

Coming into the year, the most important chart I was watching was the US Dollar. As far as risk appetite was concerned, I felt the Dollar would be a great tell. The way I saw it, the Dollar rallied throughout 2018 to achieve its upside objective and then broke the uptrend line from those former lows. If we were to just rip through those key levels without at least some kind of pause or consolidation, it would most likely be because of a tremendous flight to safety. Stocks would probably be doing poorly under those conditions.

But flip that thesis upside down, and a weaker Dollar would most likely mean strength in stocks. This is exactly what we've seen throughout January = A weaker Dollar and higher stock prices: