The market remains in a volatile territory. We have just a few industry groups which continue to show relative strength. The defense sector is one of them.
This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow. In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish but NOT both.
We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.
Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.
We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.
What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.
And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the stock is about to move...
We’ve had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.
We recently decided to expand our universe to include some mid-caps…
For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.
That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.
The way we did this is simple…
To make the cut for our new Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.
And it doesn’t have to be a Russell component. It can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.
As we progress into Q1 of Fiscal Year 2022-2023, this playbook outlines our thoughts on every asset class and our plan to profit.
This playbook will cover our macro view, touching on Equities, Commodities, Currencies, and Rates, as well as outline our views on the major nifty indices and the sector/thematic indices.
We also cover individual stocks we want to be buying to take advantage of the themes discussed in the playbook.
We get to talk to a lot of traders and investors every single day. I like to listen.
In the first chart, we have what seems to be the consensus view. Investors fear that we're going to complete this top in the S&P500 sending prices down even lower.
Do you agree? We break 4100 and down we go?
Or could it be like the second chart, and all this support holds?