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I Like This Secular Bull Market

May 12, 2022

Technically, not everything can underperform.

There are always some groups of stocks that are doing better than the others. Whether that means going up in price faster, or going down in price slower.

In some cases, like more recently, some stocks do well on an absolute basis well others lose value altogether.

This year we've seen the largest dispersion of returns among US Sectors in over 20 years. The difference in returns between Energy and some of the Growth areas like Communications or Tech have been historic across the board.

Here's Energy relative to Technology, as well as Energy relative to the overall market, as defined by the S&P500:

Market Levels to Track

May 12, 2022

Global markets have been in a mess for a while now. For some time there, India was displaying resilience when it came to the broader market indices. But that has changed over the past few days.

We have seen a selloff come through in the market and it is time to revisit the levels that could be crucial going forward.

Frowny Faces

May 12, 2022

There are a lot of charts that looks very similar to this one.

Tops are a process right?

This is what this one looks like:

Barta Builds Groupon Position

May 12, 2022

Jan Barta of Pale Fire Capital revealed an additional purchase of roughly $23 million in Groupon $GRPN, as he continues to build a position.

The CEO and the president of OPKO Health $OPK revealed a purchase of approximately 400,000 shares of his company's stock in a Form 4 filing.

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2 to 100 Club

2 to 100 Club (05-11-2022)

May 11, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to the 2 to 100 Club.

As many of you know, something we've been working on internally is using various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar.

Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some...

Insiders Are in BTFD Mode

May 11, 2022

I think it’s safe to say insiders are buying the dip!

This might be the most Form 4 filings we’ve seen in a single day since we started doing this.

And we’re seeing activity in all different sectors, from software to chemicals, including even casinos.

[Video] Fox Business w/ Liz Claman: Where's The Secular Leadership?

May 10, 2022

The selling pressure in stocks and other risk assets continues to persist.

What are we looking for to turn this thing around?

I sat down with Liz Claman yesterday on Fox Business to discuss exactly that.

This one is short and sweet. What are the key levels? Where are we looking for leadership?

If bonds catch a bounce, who will lead out of the hole?

My #1 thing right now

May 10, 2022

The US Dollar is back up to its 2016 and 2020 highs.

On both of those occasions, the Dollar sold off and risk assets went on to do very well.

Is this time different?

Here's what it looks like:

[Premium] Trade Of The Week

May 10, 2022

The market remains in a volatile territory. We have just a few industry groups which continue to show relative strength. The defense sector is one of them.

Read on to know more.

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Follow the Flow (05-09-2022)

May 9, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow. In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish but NOT both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.

What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.

And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the stock is about to move...