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Ackman Cries "Uncle!" on Netflix

April 21, 2022

In the activist world, Bill Ackman announced that Pershing Square exited its position in Netflix $NFLX, as the stock was plunging lower by 35% on the heels of a disappointing earnings report.

It’s estimated that the hedge fund lost over $400 million on the position, which was just purchased back in January.

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The Short Report (04-20-2022)

April 20, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as a market of stocks.

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions… but there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club. We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports. Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

We'll publish this...

Congress Loves the Big Names

April 20, 2022

The only insider buy on today's Hot List is a Form 4 filing by the CEO of Solo Brands $DTC, who reported a purchase of roughly $486,200.

In the options market, there was bullish options activity in the social media platform Pinterest Inc $PINS and in the retail pharmacy operator Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc.

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[Premium] Mid-Month Conference Call Video Recording April 2022

April 19, 2022

This is the video recording of the April 2022 Mid-month Conference Call.

We discussed:

  • The Major U.S. Indexes and Current Technical Analysis
  • Commodities making multi-year highs vs Stocks
  • Our Sentiment Composite Indicator shows excess Pessimism
  • Value Stocks continue to lead vs Growth Stocks
  • Energy Stocks and Commodities Trades
  • Agriculture Stocks and Commodities
  • Base Metals & Precious Metals
  • The US Dollar vs US Dollar Index are very different
  • Global Markets: Pockets of Strength & Weakness
  • Bonds Yields and Yield Curves
  • What To Do With These Beat Up Growth Stocks
  • Bitcoin Correlations & New Crypto Trade Ideas

[Premium] Trade Of The Week

April 19, 2022

We alluded to the strong move that we're observing in the Fertilizers and Chemicals space. Today we're here to take a look at one such stock that just broke out above its resistance and looks good to go!

Read on to know more.

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Under the Hood (04-18-2022)

April 18, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to our latest Under the Hood column, where we'll cover all the action for the week ended April 15, 2022. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated with our Minor Leaguers column.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Watch this video for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large...

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Follow the Flow (04-18-2022)

April 18, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.

In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish… but NOT both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.

What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.

They’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the stock is about to move in their...

Is This "Recession" Already Priced In?

April 18, 2022

I was at a family get together this weekend filled with Easter egg hunts, good wine and some great eats.

It was my wife's side of the family and some of them are familiar with what I do.

"So what are we doing about this upcoming recession, JC?"

"It's quite obvious a recession is coming..."

I responded with a question,

"How much of all that is already priced into the market?"

Twitter Adopts Anti-Elon Poison Pill

April 18, 2022

We’ll lead off today with an update on the big activist story we’re all paying attention to.

After meeting last week to discuss Elon Musk’s takeover offer, Twitter’s $TWTR board announced the adoption of a “poison pill” that makes it economically untenable for Musk to acquire more than 15% of outstanding shares.

It’s also being rumored that Musk is considering taking on partners for his bid for the company.