We love our bottoms-up scans here at All Star Charts. We tend to get really creative when making new universes as we want to be sure they will deliver us the best opportunities the market has to offer.
However, when it comes to this one, it couldn't be any simpler!
With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US stocks.
Welcome to TheJunior Hall of Famers.
This scan is composed of the next 150 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 150 and are thus covered by the Hall of Famers universe. Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.
There is no need to overcomplicate things. Market cap is a quality filter at the end of the day. It only grows if price is rising. That's good enough for us.
More and more stocks are completing primary trend reversals.
The most risk-on groups are leading the charge.
With this in mind, it's time for another Freshly Squeezed report.
Here's our approach:
We find the most heavily shorted stocks in the market. Then, we monitor these names for signs of upward momentum. Once that momentum kicks in, we ride them higher as the bears get squeezed.
We got fresh short data on Monday, so let's dive in and talk about it.
Our scan is quite simple. It is designed to identify stocks with the most aggressive short positions.
When a stock is shorted, it means incremental buyers are waiting in the wings...
In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.
But the scan doesn't just end there.
We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.
Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.
When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...
The underperformance from Technology stocks continues.
And keep in mind that you've been seeing it in Large-caps for most of this year, but you've been seeing the underperformance from Small-cap Technology for over 18 months.
Small-cap Tech peaked in the summer of 2023 relative to the rest of the small-caps:
It's really been a disappointment for Technology investors.
Granted, there are Tech stocks working, but they are few and far between, compared to what we have seen in the past.
Look at the returns of these Technology ETFs relative to the performance in Bitcoin over the past month:
If we want to own "Technology", then I think there are better places to do that than buying the Tech ETFs or the indexes in general.
I think we want to pick our spots
In the latest Trade Alert to members of ASC Crypto, the best Crypto Miners, which are NOT considered "Technology", are highlighted with details for best entry and exits.
They are categorized as "Capital Markets". And there were multiple trade alerts this...
So the question becomes: Is this fresh breakout the beginning of the next leg higher for equities?
Or is this market behavior evidence of exhaustion and it's time to get out?
Let me remind you of the "Fab 5" charts from the beginning of 2024 that helped determine whether we were starting a new leg higher this year or if it was time to bail.
The breakouts coming into this year, specifically in Broker Dealers, Technology, Industrials, Homebuilders and Semiconductors were the most important...
It wasn't clear how the price would react to our target, but sure enough, the sellers showed up right on cue.
But the weight of the evidence continues to suggest this bull market has legs and it's better to spend our time looking for buying opportunities, not selling opportunities.
Let's talk about the recent price action and what it means for our portfolios:
Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended November 8, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.
What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.
There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.
Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers, there’...
It's only a bubble if it's going up and they don't own enough of it, or any at all.
They only call things bubbles when they have a hard time understanding why prices are doing what they're doing.
As someone who studies human behavior every single day, I can tell you with a high degree of confidence that 99.9% of people who call things bubbles haven't actually done any of the work required to determine whether something is in a bubble or not.
And that's the key thing here.
There is a huge arbitrage between the people who put in the work, and actually take the time to analyze markets using real data, and those who are too busy doing other things to truly have an honest opinion about whether a particular period of time is, in fact, a bubble.
Bubbles, as those of us with common sense know, are incredibly rare, by definition.
So when someone calls something a bubble, they are almost certainly wrong about that, or in most cases, just making it up because they don't know how else to describe certain market behaviors that they can't wrap their heads around.
Bitcoin, for example, just broke out to new all-time highs...