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International Hall of Famers (10-25-2024)

October 25, 2024

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from...

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Lightbulbs, Bubbles and The Man Who Wanted to Kill Me

October 24, 2024

In 2015 I was an entrepreneur, had my last knee surgery, and was still riding professionally from time to time—until my body finally gave out. 

I was also on the verge of starting my own fund while working for another one. 

In other words, I was busy.

My trading signals back then were based on 10-month highs which reflects how busy I was. 

We saw a new 10-month high by the end of the year, and that marked the beginning of one of the most legendary trends in financial history. 

 

When I first bought in, the backlash was intense. You were an “idiot” for investing in Bitcoin at that time. 

Then, the tide turned and Bitcoin skyrocketed from $300 to $20,000 in the following two years. 

Some mornings, I’d wake up in disbelief that some cryptocurrencies had doubled overnight. 

...
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ASC Mastermind Lab: Intermarket Analysis with Jason Perz

October 23, 2024

Below is the 6th ASC Mastermind Lab Course. These are special videos that will be made available throughout the duration of the 12-week course featuring conversations with professionals from across Wall Street discussing topics in their expertise. 

I wasn't ready to move on from intermarket analysis just yet. It's too important. So I called up Jason Perz, the newest All Star Charts analyst, and someone who is an expert in the relationship between bonds, commodities, and currencies. 

Jason and I discussed these relationships at length, how these markets have reacted to major historical events, and how a move in one market could impact another.

Enjoy my conversation with Jason.

 

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A Warning From The Bond Market

October 23, 2024

Long bonds are sending a message loud and clear these days, and I’m all ears.

When the Fed started cutting rates last month, long-term bonds reversed course lower. They are making fresh 3-month lows this week.

This might seem surprising, but it's not as uncommon as you'd think.

We saw a similar situation in November 2018, when the Fed raised rates, but the bond market didn't buy it, with the TLT rallying for two years.

Now, the Fed is cutting rates, and long bonds are calling their bluff again. This time, by reversing trend lower.

You can see what I mean in the following chart:

 

If bond prices continue to decline, it likely signals an expectation of rising inflation or stronger economic growth. 

Personally, I’m betting on inflation increasing.

If this is the case, the Fed rate...

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2 to 100 Club (10-22-2024)

October 22, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

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The Short Report (10-22-2024)

October 22, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

...
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It's Time For Digital Gold To Shine

October 21, 2024

Digital gold has churned sideways at its prior cycle high, while gold and risk assets have enjoyed a sweet leg higher over the last half-year.

It would be strange for this bull market cycle to end without Bitcoin enjoying a blue-sky breakout.

So, if it's a bull market, shouldn't Bitcoin and friends be participating?

Yes. We're betting that crypto is about to reach escape velocity and have an epic catch up.

Let's talk about it:

 

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The Minor Leaguers (10-21-2024)

October 21, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

Nowadays, to make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

And it doesn't have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.

The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new highs in order to focus...

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No One Watches Cable News Anymore

October 19, 2024

Most of us somehow know people who still consume basic cable television news.

It's like watching someone who's obese shop at the grocery store, buying all their cereal and "fat free" cookies. It's terrible. 

It's like seeing the alcoholic walk into the bar at noon and the bartender automatically knows to serve him the regular 2 shots and a beer.

The cable news people are the bartenders giving you the poison that you desire, at the worst possible time that they could possibly serve it to you.

It's like walking into a casino in Reno, NV to see people who have no money, are in terrible health, and have no business being inside a casino, sitting there all afternoon putting money into slot machines.

This is what the sick individuals who still consume basic cable news are doing to themselves.

It's sad to watch them struggle so much and slowly kill themselves. You may not see it easily on the outside, but their souls are dying or already dead on the inside. 

The good news is there are fewer and fewer of these suffering individuals left who are still poisoning themselves in these antiquated ways.

Look at the viewership...

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Uranium Is on Fire

October 18, 2024

Uranium stocks have been screaming higher and show no signs of slowing down.

As the AI Revolution demands more and more power, big technology companies are turning to nuclear energy.

The market is sending a very clear message... we (as investors) need to increase our exposure to uranium stocks.

Check out the recent performance from uranium stocks:

 

Each bubble's location is determined by its 10-day change on the x-axis, the trailing 3-month return on the y-axis, and the 14-day RSI is the size.

LEU, OKLO, and SMR are the stocks that stand out the most amongst their peers. Each of these 3 leaders is involved with nuclear energy for the AI boom.

The VanEck Uranium Energy ETF $NLR is decisively resolving a multi-decade base:

 

This fund holds large positions in the largest uranium stocks like Constellation Energy $CEG, Cameco $CCJ, and BWX Technologies $BWXT.

The breakout to new multi-decade highs is happening as breadth in the industry is expanding.

The GlobalX Uranium ETF $URA has a large Cameco...

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Dollar Down, Oil Up: The Tide is Shifting

October 18, 2024

You're overthinking the whole dollar and oil connection. 

As a trader, I love finding intermarket relationships to guide the way I look at markets. While those links matter, I have to remember that they aren’t set in stone. They change as the world changes. 

War and energy production can really shake up these correlations.

In early 2022, the correlation between the dollar and oil hit a 20-year high.

 

That year, the Russia-Ukraine war had just begun, and there was a rush into the US dollar. I like to call the dollar a "panic currency" because when things get tough, people flock to it for safety. 

In 2022, the war caused a huge spike in energy prices, and the dollar rose along with it.

Right now, with so much uncertainty in the world—between wars and an unclear future with the election right around the corner—it makes sense that the dollar would move alongside oil. 

But it won’t last forever.

Notice the strong and consistent negative correlation from 2002 until recently.

And then notice how it pinged...