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Icahn Gets Active With Kroger

April 1, 2022

We begin today’s discussion with a special situation that took shape this week.

At the end of the day, what we’re trying to do here is create a universe of stocks that are experiencing bullish activity from investors who have better information than the rest of us.

Typically, this information comes to us in the form of SEC filings, options flow, or through congressional reporting. But that’s not always the case!

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The Truth About the Yield Curve

March 31, 2022

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley  

It finally happened…

The yield curve inverted for a brief moment as the 2-year yield rose above the 10-year earlier this week. 

But whether or not it inverted yet is beside the point. It’s been flattening for a long time, and that’s the direction we’re headed in. It's only a matter of time.

While media outlets and fearmongers will spin this development as an urgent warning of an impending bear market, here's what you need to know: Throughout history, equities have done well during and after inversions.

This commonly observed leading indicator has a tendency to precede major market tops by years, not months. In other words, there's still time. The average lead time is about 18 months after prior inversions. 

More importantly, when it comes to forecasting bear markets and recessions, many experts will argue that it is actually not the 2-year we should be focused on, but the 3-month yield. 

And...

The Adani Group Solar System (Update 4)

March 31, 2022

Guess where we're at again?

We're at a point where the Adani Solar System constituents get another upgrade (well, wherever applicable).

Are you invested in the Adani group stocks? Then this would be a good post for you.

The Adani Group Solar System has been one of the most talked-about posts here at ASC and one can see why! For the most part, we keep upgrading the targets unless the trend suggests otherwise. It's true that not all stocks are outperformers, but the ones that are, are doing pretty great.

So let's take a look at where these stocks stand today.

First up, we have the ASC Adani Group Index. A quick peek at this and you see a resistance around the corner. So the move that we're witnessing now could take a break. This is an absolutely logical place for that to happen.

Click on the chart to zoom in.

But what helps get a better perspective, is the next chart. This is the Adani Group relative to Nifty 500.

Breadth Thrusts & Bread Crusts: An Active Approach To March Madness

March 31, 2022

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

This year’s March Madness has been maddening indeed. Brackets were busted early and often. Three of the #1 seeds lost before they even had a chance to play for a trip to the Final Four. As challenging (and exciting) as that was, I’ve got a deeper frustration with it: It’s a passive participant’s paradise. 

Let me explain. 

Before the field of 64 is even set, we get deep dives on the various teams and their prospects. Stats are analyzed, stories are told. When the brackets are set, the picking begins. Though no games have yet been played, participants reason through potential matchups, from the first round all the way through to the finals. Bragging rights (and often more than that) are at stake for having properly allocated all your resources before the first whistle is blown. It’s about setting and forgetting. No feedback loops, no opportunities to adjust exposure based on changing tournament conditions.

The Notorious Underworld of Anons and the Wassie

March 31, 2022

From the desk of Louis Sykes @haumicharts

Alright, time for a light-hearted story.

Over the last few months, I've jumped down the rabbit hole that is Crypto Twitter (better known as CT).

As someone who's snooped around Financial Twitter (or FinTwit), a community dominated by industry professionals, CMTs, and CFAs, opening the trapdoor into CT felt similar to the culture shock I would experience moving to a new country.

Anyone that's had a presence in CT knows the culture: anon (anonymous) accounts, constant meme-ing, and shit-posting from a community of outcasts and degenerates enjoying riding the volatility of a new generation of assets.

This carnage was the perfect breeding ground for the wassie...

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2 to 100 Club

2 to 100 Club (03-30-2022)

March 30, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to the 2 to 100 Club.

As many of you know, something we've been working on internally is using various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during...

Commodity Check : Cotton

March 30, 2022

Commodities and rates are at the center of everything right now. And why wouldn't they be? That's where the trend is clear. That's where the momentum is! Keeping this trend in mind, one specific commodity will be highlighted in this post.

This is a commodity that has made it to our trade ideas several times in the recent past. After a minor consolidation, the price seems ready for the next move. What are we talking about?

Read on to know more.

The All Star Momentum Scan

March 30, 2022

We debuted a new scan recently which goes by the name- All Star Momentum.

All Star Momentum is a brand new scan that guides us towards the very best stocks in the market. This time around, we have incorporated our stock universe of Nifty 500 as the base. Among the 500 stocks that we follow, this scan will pump out names that are most likely to outperform the market.

[PLUS] Weekly Sentiment Report

March 30, 2022

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Price action has a way of changing sentiment, and the recent bout of strength has brought signs of hope. Optimism is on the rise with an uptick in bulls, a rebound in both the II and AAII bull-bear spreads, and an increase in exposure by active equity managers. Yet, bears linger and the drop in put/call ratios is driven by decreasing put activity. This speaks to less of a risk-off tone rather than a definitive sign of risk-on behavior. Though optimism is in the air, it’s going to take further improvements in trend, momentum, and breadth for bears to change their tune in support of a sustained rally.                   

Sentiment Report Chart of the Week: Breadth Backdrop Improving

The rally off of the mid-March stock market lows has investors feeling better (or at least less bad). This improved mood (and the rebound in price that helped fuel it) will likely have more staying power if it’s accompanied by a better breadth backdrop. We are heading in that direction, but there is...