The strength coming out of crypto in recent weeks has been impressive, and for the first time in many months, we can say that the bulls are in the driving seat.
The median change for all coins above $1B in market-cap in just the last 20 days, since Bitcoin bottomed, is a whopping 53%! In this same period, nearly 100,000 Bitcoin have been withdrawn from exchanges, and many more hundreds of millions of dollars committed to short positions were liquidated as the accumulation for these digital assets has ramped up.
Long story short, the cryptocurrency landscape looks the best it has in a long while, and we're subsequently looking for more names to express this bullish thesis of ours.
First, we'll address the elephant in the room, Bitcoin. After successfully resolving higher from this critical 41,000 level, prices find themselves pushed up against their next hurdle - the 261....
"JC, Technical Analysis is just a Self-fulfilling Prophecy"
Where do I even start...
I just can't with this one.
A statement that technical analysis is self-fulfilling is suggesting that there are events in the free market that are caused directly or indirectly by the preceding prediction or expectation that it was going to occur by a group of market technicians.
We retired our "Five Bull Market Barometers" in mid-July last year to make room for a new weekly post that's focused on the three most important charts for the week ahead.
This is that post, so let's jump into this week's edition.
This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.
The talk around town this week is the potential "double bottom" in US Interest Rates.
You can see that here along with the higher low in the highly correlated Regional Bank stocks:
Is the resiliency in Copper pointing to higher rates?
You can see Copper relative to Gold here and how closely the ratio moves with rates:
The strength in Copper and other base metals is impressive. We dove into it on this week's Live Strategy Session along with our favorite Steel Stocks to take advantage of these trends.
But it's the weakness in Gold that really stands out. No one wants...
I only live about an hour from New York City, but it was my first time back since March 2020. It felt good.
Manhattan had been my home for over a decade before I moved to California in 2015. I've been back on the East coast now for about a year and a half, but haven't been able to enjoy NYC for obvious reasons.
It was good being back. The sushi there is on another level. You don't get that sort of thing in the suburbs.
Anyway, I dropped by to see my friends at Ritholtz Wealth Management to talk all things markets, technical analysis, finding the strongest stocks and how the Heat & Knicks did in the offseason.
It’s said that the most bullish thing stocks can do is go up. If something goes up enough, it starts to make new highs. Indexes like the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ 100, fueled by gains in a handful of mega-cap stocks, have been making new highs but beneath the surface, participation has been relatively narrow. Breaking the S&P 1500 into its component indexes, we see that while still not getting a plethora of new highs (especially at the mid-cap and small-cap level), we have seen some improvement over the past month. Encouraging, but not yet exciting. For that, we want to see new highs eclipse their early June levels (which for the S&P 1500 overall would be in the 200-250 range).
As always, there are a number of interesting investment ideas in the latest 2-to-100 Report published this week.
The one that most caught my eye has seen a recent collapse in options volatility resulting in cheap calls for us to play for an extended breakout. Cheap calls on stocks printing all-time highs are my absolute favorite play to make. So as you can imagine, I'm eager to jump right in.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
As investors, we have plenty of options.
We can express a bullish or bearish thesis in a variety of different asset classes - from stocks and commodities to bonds and even forex or crypto markets.
But in making the decision of which one of these areas to focus our attention, we must ask ourselves a critical question every now and then...
Where is the best place to allocate our capital?
Money flows to where it is treated best. And that’s always where we want our focus to be.
Remember, we’re here to make money, not fulfill our intellectual curiosities or express our values.
Lucky for us, determining where the alpha is as simple as performing a little intermarket analysis.
So let’s dive in and do just that.
Earlier this year, when the SPY/TLT ratio hit a key extension level, we knew we were at a logical place for stocks to take a break and bonds to get a shot at taking leadership.
Dividend aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street. These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to long-term-minded shareholders.
As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world. Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.
Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That’s why we’re turning our attention to the future aristocrats. In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we’re curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for 5-9 years.
We call them the Young Aristocrats, and the idea is that these are “stocks that pay you to make money”. Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum & relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.