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How Do America's Biggest Stocks Look?

October 23, 2019

If we want to know what the largest institutions in the world are doing, we have to look at the biggest stocks. If you have 100 Billion Dollars to put to work, you're not buying crypto currencies or pot stocks in Canada. The big boy sandbox is where we want to look.

My friend Todd Sohn says that your best players are supposed to score a lot of your points. The S&P500 is a cap-weighted index, which means that it owns more of the stocks performing well and less of the ones doing poorly.

Money Game Podcast: JOMO - Joy Of Missing Out (EP.10)

October 23, 2019

We are back with another episode of The Money Game Podcast with Phil Pearlman. Today we talk about JOMO, the Joy Of Missing Out. Phil brings up a point about the amount of work that goes into today's version of Keeping up with the Joneses: Instagram, for example. People are so concerned with Missing Out (FOMO) that they're completely ignoring the joys of missing out (JOMO). Saying No gives us the ability and the time to stay focused on what is probably more important, whether it's health, family, friends, work or whatever else you're into. We see this in the market constantly, with traders chasing trades and worrying about what trades other people are in and the money other people are making. The beauty of this situation in the market is that we're guaranteed to get another opportunity. The market doesn't give us many (any?) other guarantees. The one thing we do know is that there...

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Time For a Big Move to Consolidate?

October 23, 2019

One of our bigger directional wins this summer/fall is showing signs of taking a breather, but traders with a memory are still keeping a bid under options prices. This is setting up the potential for a nice "income trade." When volatility is high (and therefore options premiums are juicy), and my bet is some sideways action in the near-term, these are the ideal situations to employ delta-neutral credit spreads.

 

 

We Want To Be Buying Stocks

October 21, 2019

This is my favorite time of the month - preparing for our Live Monthly Conference Call. It really gives me an opportunity to gather all of the evidence, put my thoughts and ideas down on paper and then explain it all in under an hour. It's all pretty awesome!

In this call we talk about the US Stock market and where it fits within the Global Market complex. Throughout this process we're also analyzing the commodities, interest rates and currency markets that apply to each country. Only then do we break things down to individual sectors and their sub industry groups to finally find the best stocks to express a bigger thesis.

We call this the top/down approach and I'm pumped to go through it all on Tuesday's Call.

Over the weekend I was going through all of the International Markets and could not help but noticed the strength popping up all over the world: Japan,...

Video: The Global Breadth Expansion Continues

October 21, 2019

In this Episode of Allstarcharts Weekly, Steve and I are focused on expansion of global breadth. We're seeing more and more countries around the world breaking out to new 52-week highs. This week the Global 100 Index is making new highs and now Taiwan has also joined the group with Brazil and Switzerland who were already doing so. With Sweden and Japan right there near highs as well, the breadth expansion continues, not the deterioration that the bears are preaching. It's hard to be bearish equities if the Dow Jones Industrial Average is above 27,000 and the German DAX is above its 2015 highs. Those are the key levels we're watching. But breadth is expanding, not deteriorating. That's for sure.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Targeting a Hundy Roll

October 21, 2019

The S&P 500 is back near highs. Call me crazy, but bullish setups in this environment with low volatility in the options get my antennae up for my favorite bullish strategy -- the simple long call. (Keep it simple, slugger!)

NIFTY 50 Is Heading To 13,000

October 20, 2019

The trend for NIFTY stocks is up. That has not changed. Like many stocks and indexes around the world, NIFTY been mostly stagnant since early 2018. Unlike most stocks and indexes, however, NIFTY has managed to put in higher lows and higher highs along the way. So it's not just a consolidation.

I do believe NIFTY resolves this consolidation higher and heads up towards 13,000 - this is the target:

Look At The Dow Jones Averages As A Group

October 19, 2019

One week it's the Dow Jones Utility Average pulling the weight. This week it was the Dow Jones Transportation Average up over 2% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average was basically flat. It's always one of them, which is why the Dow Jones Composite Average, the combination of all of them, continues to hold up so well. Remember the DJ Composite has 65 stocks, 30 from the DJIA, 20 from the DJTA and 15 from the DJU. The Dow Jones Composite Average went out at new all-time monthly closing highs just a few weeks back. Our bet is that this uptrend continues.

Here is a weekly chart of the Dow Jones Composite. These are the types of charts we want to be buying, not selling:

All Star Charts Premium

[Premium] Details For October 2019 Conference Call

October 19, 2019

These are the registration details for the monthly conference call for Premium Members of All Star Charts. In this call we will discuss the global market environment and how to profit from it. As always, this will include Stocks, Interest Rates, Commodities and Currencies. The video of the call will be archived in the members section to re-watch any time and the PDF of the charts will be made available as well.

This month’s Conference Call will be held on Tuesday October 22th at 7PM ET. Here are the details for the call:

A Big Move Is Finally Coming In The US Dollar

October 18, 2019

It's been a while since we talked about the Dollar. The truth is, this trade has really been a Nothing-Burger all year. G-10 currencies have been a snooze-fest until just recently. I have good friends who specialize in this space and they're bored. That's not good for their business, but I have a suspicion that things are changing.

Let's get right into it. Here is the US Dollar Index breaking down on a weekly timeframe and unable to hold its previous highs. This sort of thing reminds me a lot of early October 2018 for US Stocks. From failed moves come fast moves, is how I learned it. I've also come to understand over time that this is not something to be afraid of, as many books often hint to. I think this is something to embrace. It presents the best risk vs reward opportunities of any other setup I know:

[Options] Using Vertical Spreads to Manage Long Call Positions, Part 2. #BallersOnly

October 17, 2019

Warning: This aggressive strategy is only for those who are comfortable with risk and want to Bro Down ;)

In a previous post, I discussed using Vertical Spreads to roll long in-the-money calls up to protect profits while not giving up the dream of higher prices. Any time I'm holding long calls that are way in-the-money, this is a viable option to help me take money off the table -- freeing it up to be redeployed elsewhere -- but still leaves me a chance to participate if the stock continues moving higher (in the off-chance I didn't perfectly call the top /sarcasm).

I promised an aggressive cousin to this strategy and here it goes...