In this Episode of Allstarcharts Weekly, Steve and I talk about all of the new highs we're seeing on both Weekly and Monthly charts. We've been pointing to the improvements in market breadth in recent months and how we've been getting an expansion in positive participation, not a contraction. This week we started to finally see this work its way into the weekly and monthly charts, but that doesn't change anything we didn't already know. We continue with the breadth discussion by pointing out that the world doesn't start and end with the 52-week highs list. We're seeing breadth improvements in the 21-day high and 13-week high lists and I'm in the camp that we'll ultimately see that reflected on the 52-week high list as well. It's a process, remember:

This week I sat down with Pearlman to talk about the fact that stocks are making new highs but the amount of bulls betting on higher prices is near now lows. It was a really interesting conversation so make sure to check it out.

At the end of our chat Phil asked me about some comments I made recently regarding the CCI Commodities Index.

Here is the chart he was referring to where Commodities are doing something they haven't done in 8 years. I think it's worth pointing out for sure:

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

New Mystery Chart!

For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it's a custom index or inverted, who knows!

We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.

You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?

This is the video recording of the November 2019 Conference Call for Members of All Star Options

Stocks are going up. Interest Rates are not.

This we know.

If you haven't seen our thoughts on stocks lately, I encourage you to catch up here: November - October - September. Today, however, we're more focused on the bond market and what we can learn from it.

First of all, here is the US 10-year Yield. If we're below 2.07 then there is no reason to expect a severe bond sell-off. I guess it depends on what you consider severe, but bigger picture I don't think there is any change in trend until we're above that. And it's not happening tomorrow. 

In this episode of the Money Game Podcast Phil and I talk about the stock market making all-time highs while sentiment points to very few bulls. This is an interesting dynamic where the behavior of the market is pointing to one thing and the behavior and emotions of society are saying something different. I've been in the camp that this negative sentiment unwind is precisely the catalyst to take stocks much higher, not just in the U.S. but around the world. It's very rare to have stocks this strong, yet so few people betting on higher stock prices. It's pretty awesome. We also talk about the deterioration, or at least an end to the expansion we're seeing, in the upside participation in stocks. We're seeing MORE stocks, sectors and global indexes participating to the upside, not fewer. Until that stops, we want to keep looking for stocks to buy.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

In late August we took a simplified look at the Bond market and discussed the potential for mean reversion lower (Rates higher), but that the market remained choppy and we should adhere to strict risk management to avoid getting run over on the short side.

Choppiness continued, but Bonds have sold off a bit.

So what now? Let's take a comprehensive look at Bonds and how we're approaching them into year-end.

There are bullish setups all over the place. My friend Aaron couldn't have said it better:

<----- drowning in setups

— Aaron (@ATMcharts) November 4, 2019

I agree. Lots to play on the upside. That said, lets not get crazy here. We still need to put ourselves in some high probability situations and not bet the farm on any one trade. So let's take a look at a good opportunity in that vein.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

On October 26th I had the privilege of speaking at the Trade Ideas 2019 Summit in San Diego. It was a great opportunity to share our views, but more importantly, meet a ton of new people from all walks of life and hear their different perspectives. I had an absolute blast.

Last year JC presented at the same conference, outlining our very bearish thesis for Equities. This year my tone was the exact opposite!

I only had thirty minutes, but I ran through nearly 100 slides of Equities, Commodities, and Interest Rates, outlining our bull case for Equities.

The full video is available below and you can email info@allstarcharts.com if you'd like the full slide deck. Hope you enjoy!

Stocks around the globe have been making new highs as of late, rallying over the past several weeks and months.

Will it continue or are we due for some consolidation first?

Let's take a look.

Going through charts this weekend, there are a few things that stood out.

First of all, the biggest company in the world is on pace to easily double in value in 2019. How do you think things are going around here? My bet is pretty darn good:

Robert Sluymer has been a Technical Analyst for close to 3 decades. I really enjoy his intermarket, global macro perspective and the way he brings it all together in a similar way to what we do at our shop. It was hard for me to really disagree with anything Rob said during this podcast episode. It seems to me like him and I are on the same page on many levels. I didn't make it easy...