As I was updating our Monthly Chartbook today for members, one theme that stuck out clear as day is that there are really two separate markets in Indian Stocks right now.

Tuesday I posted a mystery chart and asked you all to let me know what you would do. Buy, sell, or do nothing. Most of you agreed with me it looked like a structural breakdown that we should be selling as long as prices are below support.

So today I want to reveal the full chart and share why I feel it's relevant.

We saw this tweet from our friend Josh and we totally agreed:

this move in REITs is slapstick comedy pic.twitter.com/6wtROUYeB9

— Downtown Josh Brown (@ReformedBroker) January 31, 2019

This move in $IYR (iShares US Real Estate ETF) is incredible, and we might go higher from here still. But I'm willing to bet a mild retracement will soon be at hand -- or at the very least we'll see a pause.

As the calendar turns to February, it is time to review our handful of open positions with Feb options that are nearing expiration and might require some attention.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Short-term strength in Precious Metals continues, so I want to do an in-depth analysis of the space like I did last August to see if we're now entering "The Golden Age of Precious Metals".

One chart that I think sums up how I feel about Precious Metals is an equally-weighted index of Gold, Silver, Platinum, and Palladium. While no longer in a long-term downtrend, it's not in an uptrend either. All that can be said is that it's testing the top of a multi-year range. Not all that exciting.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

Coming into the year, the most important chart I was watching was the US Dollar. As far as risk appetite was concerned, I felt the Dollar would be a great tell. The way I saw it, the Dollar rallied throughout 2018 to achieve its upside objective and then broke the uptrend line from those former lows. If we were to just rip through those key levels without at least some kind of pause or consolidation, it would most likely be because of a tremendous flight to safety. Stocks would probably be doing poorly under those conditions.

But flip that thesis upside down, and a weaker Dollar would most likely mean strength in stocks. This is exactly what we've seen throughout January = A weaker Dollar and higher stock prices:

Sticking with a theme we started the week with, if the market is poised for higher prices, they will likely be led by the Medical Devices space. Putting our money where our mouths are, we're taking a shot that will be a home run if it plays out, while offering us room to be wrong without losing too much.

This week we're back with another Mystery Chart.

For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and eliminate the x and y-axes and and all labels eliminated to minimize bias. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. It can even be inverted or a custom index.

The point here is to not guess what it is, but instead to think about what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?

For me, price is the most important technical indicator. Everything after that is just a supplement to actual price behavior. In that group of supplements is Momentum. My oscillator of choice is the RSI, or the "Relative Strength Index". I use this indicator in a variety of ways, but today I wanted to show you an easy trick to quickly identify whether momentum is in a bullish range or a bearish range:

Tyler Wood is a Managing Director at the CMT Association, the global credentialing body for the CMT designation. A Chartered Market Technician (CMT) has achieved the highest education within the discipline of Technical Analysis and is the preeminent designation for practitioners worldwide. I finished up the 3rd Level of the CMT back in 2008, just in time to help me navigate that historic period for the market. I've known Tyler for almost 10 years and can tell you first hand that he is regularly speaking with some of the best technicians in the world. I think he brings a unique perspective on the subject and thought he would be a good compliment to a lot of the other guests we've had on the podcast. In the episode we touch on the growth of Technical Analysis and the CMT since the late 60s, the role that women have always played in the field and in the organization, the international awareness we're seeing about Technicals and how social media has changed the access that younger market participants have to...

We live in a world where kids get 7th place trophies. It's embarrassing.

As my friend Phil Pearlman said in one of our recent podcast episodes, "If my kid ever gets one of those, I'll make him throw it away".  

What's wrong with taking the loss, learning to live with it, and then moving on?

In October, Dr. Brett Steenbarger shared some of his thoughts with us on visualizing yourself taking the loss, before even entering into an investment. Already going through that "pain" in your head makes the loss easier to accept in the future if/when we are wrong.

Last month I put out a post called, The Market Owes you Nothing, so we remember that indeed, the market does not owe us a single thing. Financial Advisors put that compound interest chart in front of investors like a carrot, and then investors get upset when the market is not going up. The...

If the worst is over for the stock market, then definitely one of the areas we want to be getting long is the medical devices sector. There are a lot of stocks here that have shown relative strength and are at or near all-time highs. If US stocks go higher from here, this sector will definitely lead the way.