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"Show Me" Time For Bitcoin & Ethereum

July 15, 2022

The US Dollar took a little break from going up yesterday, and that has continued a bit this morning.

A funny thing happens when the Dollar isn't ripping - stocks and crypto prices are able to rise....

Today is Crypto Fridays around here at Allstarcharts.

We start with our 7AM meeting with the whole Crypto Team going over everything from the major trends, to new coins popping up on our screens, or the latest from the private world of defi and web 3.

Then at 10AM ET we hold our weekly Crypto Strategy session for Members of ASC Crypto.

[Call +1 (323) 421-7910 to access ASC Crypto Trade Ideas and Reports]

In addition to all of this, I like to schedule my "Crypto" type meetings to Fridays as well. So it's become Crypto Fridays around here, almost by accident, and I like it.

It's fun.

Anyway, this is what's on my mind today.

Tell me there is a more important set of charts in all of Crypto right now.

Prices of the two biggest and most important coins are back to the prior cycle's high:

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The Short Report (07-14-2022)

July 14, 2022

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions… but there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club. We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports. Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

What's It Going To Take?

July 13, 2022

"JC what's on your mind these days?"

I get asked this a lot. So it keeps me on my toes.

But it's a great exercise, even if you're not being asked regularly by colleagues and journalists.

So what is on my mind?

It's this.

It's still this.

It's the strong Dollar preventing stocks and crypto assets from rising in price:

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The Canadian Dollar Stands Strong

July 13, 2022

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

It’s inescapable. If you haven’t read it in the news, seen it on Twitter, or heard it from a co-worker, here’s the scoop…

The euro has tumbled to parity with the dollar for the first time in almost 20 years!

That’s the big news in the currency markets these days. Sure, it’s a significant development.

But what currency isn’t falling against the US dollar right now?

It’s an interesting question. And it draws our attention to the Canadian dollar.

Let’s take a look.

Here’s a chart of the USD/CAD cross:

While the US dollar steamrolls everything in sight and prints fresh decade-highs against most major currencies, it’s still dealing with last year’s highs against the Canadian dollar.

Develop Your Cosmic Perspective

July 13, 2022

From the Desk of Louis Sykes

They're everywhere.

The long-awaited James Webb Space Telescope images...

Moments like these are not only significant for the scientific quest. They also deeply change the human condition and what we think is possible.

When Copernicus discovered the heliocentric model -- that the universe doesn't rotate around Earth -- it humbled humanity.

When Newton discovered that the motion of the celestial bodies followed strict laws of mathematics, it gave a seemingly entropic universe order.

When man landed on the moon, it changed our entire perception of what's possible.

And when the Hubble Space Telescope and the more recently launched JWST send back awe-inspiring images, it gives us a perspective of the cosmos we've never seen before.

Chart of the Day: New All-time Lows

July 13, 2022

You can't overstate what a bully the Dollar has been towards stocks in the U.S. and around the world.

We've talked about new 20 year lows for Japanese Yen, and the recent parity with the Euro, of course.

But now take a look the Emerging Markets Currencies ETF breaking down to new all-time lows:

Not an inflation hedge. Not a safe haven.

July 12, 2022

The S&P 500 just had its worst first half in more than 50 years.

Based on CPI, if you’re in cash, you’re losing 8.5% a year.

This was the worst start to the Bond Market since 1842.

So what do you think gold is doing in that environment?

Down near new 52-week lows...

Chart of the Day: Bear Markets

July 12, 2022

In bear markets, you're going to find more stocks making new lows than new highs.

That's just basic math.

In bull markets, you'll see the opposite.

Here's what today looks like: 33 consecutive weeks of more stocks hitting new lows than new highs.

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Under the Hood (07-11-2022)

July 11, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to our latest Under the Hood report, where we'll cover all the action for the week ended July 8, 2022. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated our Minor Leaguers report.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

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Follow the Flow (07-11-2022)

July 11, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.

In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.

Chart of the Day: Get To Work

July 11, 2022

The market has work to do.

We've been in a Bear Market since February of 2021 when stocks peaked. Since then it's been a slow deterioration ultimately hitting almost every sector, with some areas just getting absolutely destroyed.

But just to keep it simple, the bottom line is we're below overhead supply in almost every case. There are exceptions, but I think the S&P500 shows what's really going on for the average and median stock or sector.

This is a top, and price is below former support: