From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

The S&P 500 fell 1.5% on Monday and rebounded with a 1.5% gain on Tuesday. These were the 31st and 32nd daily moves of 1% or more so far in 2021. At this point last year, we had experienced 72...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

A recurring theme when it has come to market breadth is that while it has not been keeping pace with the indexes, it has not been breaking down. That is starting to change. Net new highs have turned...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

I might be old school, but I like to look within the Financials sector for leadership trends that provide some clues for the path of the market overall. Specifically, I keep an eye on what Banks and...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

The S&P 500 finished June at its highest level ever. For the first time since August 2020, however, this was a new monthly high that was not confirmed by the equal-weight version of the index....

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

The weight of the evidence is neutral and we’ve been discussing how it has been and remains a messy environment for stocks. We can see this in our Risk On/Risk Off Ratio which has been consolidating...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

As the weight of the evidence has shifted from bullish to neutral in the first half of 2021, active investors can find more solace in moving to the sidelines and holding on to a little more cash. This...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

After several failed attempts, the S&P 500 managed to make a new closing high on Thursday. The percentage of stocks making new 21-day highs (lower pane) did not expand as the index moved into...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

While new highs are being seen around the world (Europe, Frontier Markets) and in the US (Broker/Dealers, Real Estate, Energy), there is still plenty of attention on former leaders who are trying...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

We had fun with this one all week. We can frame it in the context of Ford’s aggressive foray into the EV market or more narrowly as an expression of suburbanite luxury truck preferences. It fits...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Every streak comes to an end. After a record 243 consecutive days of positive readings, the US economic surprise index slipped below the zero line this week. For a mean-reverting index that has...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

The one chart is actually two charts this week. On the left is the S&P 500 and the percentage of stocks in that index that are above their 200-day average (90%). On the right is the NASDAQ...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

The headlines this week focused on the, for lack of  better word, carnage in some of the most speculative areas of the stock market. While late week rally attempts have taken some of the sting out...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

The new high list on any given day has been unremarkable of late. So far in 2021, the most S&P 500 stocks making new highs on any given day has been 135 (27% of the index). The average for...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

This week marked the anniversary of Oil busting the theory that there is firm support at $0. Oil is currently trading around $62/bbl, which puts its $100 higher than where it closed on April 20,...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

There was plenty of positive economic data this week, but the bounce in residential construction activity really caught my eye. This tends to be a leading indicator for the economy overall....

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Many financial assets made new highs in the first quarter. Gold and bonds did not. The drawdown they have experienced since their August highs has been remarkable - eclipsing 20% in the case of...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

The rally in the stock market over the past year has been buoyed by many things and its shows. The year-over-year change in the S&P 500 reached its highest level ever this week as the index...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

The recent uptick in US Treasury yields has not been confirmed by other areas of the bond market (specifically Bunds & JGBs). Bonds at this point are extremely oversold and sentiment...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Treasury yields have resumed their upward ascent and the 10-year T-Note yield appears poised to move toward 2.0%. I saw a study this week from Joe Kalish of NDR that suggested such a move would...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

The monthly jobs report always gets a lot of attention. Headlines usually focus on the number of jobs added (or lost) in the month and the unemployment rate. Occasionally, the hourly earnings...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

There are plenty of ways to take apart and dissect the move in the bond market that accelerated over the past week. From an investment perspective, if the 11% YTD decline in TLT holds, Q1...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Constructing a narrative can be risky behavior if you end up trusting the story more than the incoming evidence. When you can remain objective, however, it allows you to position for an expected...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Allowing fundamentals to select your universe and technicals to dictate your action can increase the odds of success.

The Value & Momentum ETF (VAMO) has a small/mid-cap value bias with a...