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Was That It? Or Eye Of The Storm?

March 7, 2020

This is the big question going through the minds of market participants all over the world right now. What's next? Have we seen the worst of it? Or is this just the eye of the storm?

I remember as a kid I was 10 years old when a huge storm hit Miami. Hurricane Andrew was a massive category 5 storm that was supposed to hit Orlando but in the middle of the night changed directions and decided to make a beeline towards my house. So the eye of the storm actually went over our heads:

The Best Trade May Be No Trade In Yes Bank

March 6, 2020

Yes Bank is in the news again and following an 83% intraday move to the downside, market participants are wondering what's next?

In this post, we'll outline why this week's move is business as usual for the stock, what we'd do with it now, and why the best trade in Yes Bank may be to avoid it altogether.

The Good & Bad Of India's Pharma Sector

March 6, 2020

The current market environment remains choppy, so we want to revisit a sector that's showing relative strength, Pharma.

In November we pointed to the improving prospects of the Nifty Pharma Index and its components, following up with additional trades in January.

Today, we want to revisit the sector to see what's changed and what stocks we want to be buying and selling.

First, let's start with the Nifty Pharma vs Nifty 500 ratio chart that continues to turn higher after meeting our downside objective late last year. This continues to suggest further outperformance from the Nifty Pharma sector relative to the broader market.

Click on chart to enlarge view. 

Looking at the Nifty Pharma Index on an absolute basis is where things get a bit tricky. Prices confirmed...

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[Premium] The S&P 500's Cleanest Setups Right Now

March 4, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

If you're reading this it's probably because you've read our Table of the Week where we identified roughly 100 of the strongest stocks in the S&P 500. After digging into the charts of all these stocks, we came up with a handful of setups that we believe are currently offering the best reward/risk. Here they are, in no particular order.

[Table of The Week] Strongest Stocks In The S&P

March 4, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We want to be buying stocks that are in the strongest uptrends. One way we identify them is by looking at momentum which we use the 14-day RSI for. The strongest uptrends do not get oversold, or fall to RSI levels below 30. In fact, the strongest uptrends often stay above the 40-50 level and constantly print overbought readings above 70.

The S&P 500 registered an extreme oversold reading below 20 during the violent correction that began in late February. Here's a look.

Expect More Chop, But Be Prepared To Buy Stocks

March 4, 2020

In this post, we're going to recap our views from the last two months, discuss our current market view, and outline what conditions need to present themselves for us to be aggressively buying stocks.

First, let's recap our posts from the last few months that outlined why we were taking a more defensive approach towards stocks.

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Which Stocks Are We Buying?

March 3, 2020

Are you noticing the relative strength in Emerging Markets? That is NOT something we would expect to see if the world was actually coming to an end.

I can't stress this enough, stay away from the glorified gossip columns. They know less than nothing. You know who knows? The market. So that's where we'll get our data.

Think about it like this, there are more people and firms with more money and better intelligence than any of these governments, communist or otherwise. Are you actually going to trust the propaganda being put out in the "news"?

Or do you trust the people putting actual money behind the information they're spending a fortune to get? When we want to know what's really going on, we turn to the markets. The rest is pure junk.

For now, we're in an environment where we want to be buying stocks. We want to be incredibly disciplined with our risk levels, probably more than usual, but buying stocks nonetheless.

We've been running scans for stocks putting in bullish momentum divergences, or better, not getting ...